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RedmondMag: Windows XP Just Too Good, Harming Vista
by , 4:40 PM EDT, July 23rd, 2007
Vista could mark a turning point for Microsoft. It could be the Microsoft's first OS that suffers on the sales side because its predecessor works so well, according to RedmondMag.
Keith Ward noted that even though Microsoft has touted Vista's success, "lately, evidence has begun to mount that Vista isn't selling like hotcakes, and it's due in part to satisfaction with XP."
RedmondMag.com is the "independent voice of the Microsoft community."
"The latest, and most striking, indication of XP's continued strength, and Vista's softness, was given by Microsoft CFO Chris Liddell during a conference call last Friday to discuss the company's Q4 earnings. While trumpeting Microsoft's first-ever year of gross income topping the $50 billion mark, Liddell also said that the company changed its forecast of revenue from its desktop OSes in Fiscal Year 2008, revising Vista's revenue down from 85 percent to 78 percent, and XP's revenue up from 15 percent to 22 percent," Mr. Ward observed.
Market research backs up the observation. "The release of Microsoft Windows Vista operating system at the end of January has, so far, failed to stimulate the market in the way many hoped," George Shiffler, research director for Gartner's Client Platforms Markets Group, stated in a recent press release. "Our market data suggest Vista has had very limited impact on PC demand or replacement activity. We don't see Vista having a significant effect on these going forward unless Microsoft becomes much more aggressive in its marketing efforts."
Yet another punctuation of the effect has been Dell's decision to re-offer XP after first deleting it as an option after Vista debuted. "We heard you loud and clear on bringing the Windows XP option back to our Dell consumer PC offerings," Dell said.
"With each [new] version of Windows, it gets harder and harder to find features and improvements that will drive upgrades," said analyst Matt Rosoff of independent research company Directions on Microsoft.
The bottom line is that Windows XP has been out for five years. It works well enough for most people. All the drivers are there. Vista is better but not compelling above the hood. The customer momentum has remained hard to overcome, and Microsoft has had to revise their Vista projections downward.
Apple has been successful in the past with this kind of OS migration, and about two thirds of Apple's customers are currently using Tiger on their Macs according to Steve Jobs at WWDC 2007. Even so, it's an issue for any OS vendor, and perhaps Apple elected to learn from Vista's debut so they don't make the same mistakes.
Observer Comments
Mon Jul 23, 2007 10:30 pm Subject: Good enough because Vista is XP w/a facelift
There is nothing new in Vista. Anyone coming to it thinking there is something original, something not in XP (besides a higher price tag and a new display format) is thinking of some of the features Longhorn was supposed to provide. Problem is, Microsoft doesn't know how to do anything new. All they know how to do successfully is rip someone else off. When they do have a good, original idea, they demonstrate their incompetence at implementing it.
So Dell and HP force it on you because they know you have no other real option... if you've sworn yourself to settling for their gear.
Tue Jul 24, 2007 10:42 am Subject: Re: Leopard is not Vista
Isn't it funny how in 5 years (maybe a few more but I'm not exactly sure, Apple went from OS9 on Power PC's to OS X on Intel.
Microsoft went from XP to Vista, and no one wants it.
That's just powerful. Apple changed multiple OS's (X way different than 9) and also changed architectures.
Guest said: "Apple gracely managed a fundamental change in OS moving from 9 to X, then another moving from PowerPC to Intel CPUs. I work in an environment in which PowerPC and Intel machines, both servers and clients, all coexist happily with one another. I just can't see Mr. Softy pulling that off!"
Tue Jul 24, 2007 7:12 pm Subject: Re: Vista Just Too Good, Harming Mac OS X
QuoteAnonymous wrote:
"Windows Vista's share of online users has increased every month this year, while rival Mac OS X -- to which Vista has often been compared -- has shown little, if any, growth, a metrics company reports."
Read and cry, idiot Apple fanboys, ROTFLMAO!
Umm. Wow. What did you expect regarding Vista? It is the only OS you can easily buy from Microsoft right now (yes, you can get XP from some vendors, but most won't go through the trouble unless they have specific need for XP). As people buy new PCs, they get Vista. So of course their share of online users will increase. At the expense of every other OS MS has released. That's called upgrading. If it doesn't, Microsoft really has something to worry about. Also, how did they measure the metrics? Does the article you quoted say? Do you even know? Since you didn't link to anything, nobody can check.
Of course, you are just trolling the forums, so you probably don't care. But Mac users have nothing to cry about. Especially those who own stock in the company. Meanwhile, MS stock has had growth almost equivalent to putting your money under a mattress. Vista has had very little impact on their stock.
Tue Jul 24, 2007 7:33 pm Subject: Re: Vista Just Too Good, Harming Mac OS X
QuoteIntruder wrote:QuoteAnonymous wrote:
"Windows Vista's share of online users has increased every month this year, while rival Mac OS X -- to which Vista has often been compared -- has shown little, if any, growth, a metrics company reports."
Read and cry, idiot Apple fanboys, ROTFLMAO!
Umm. Wow. What did you expect regarding Vista? It is the only OS you can easily buy from Microsoft right now (yes, you can get XP from some vendors, but most won't go through the trouble unless they have specific need for XP). As people buy new PCs, they get Vista. So of course their share of online users will increase. At the expense of every other OS MS has released. That's called upgrading. If it doesn't, Microsoft really has something to worry about. Also, how did they measure the metrics? Does the article you quoted say? Do you even know? Since you didn't link to anything, nobody can check.
Of course, you are just trolling the forums, so you probably don't care. But Mac users have nothing to cry about. Especially those who own stock in the company. Meanwhile, MS stock has had growth almost equivalent to putting your money under a mattress. Vista has had very little impact on their stock.
Eh. Vista is a solution in search of a problem. It supplies support for 196 GB of RAM when most enthusiasts only suggest that you have 2 GB of RAM to get the most out of your system. It offers DX10 when all the games availble to play only utilize DX9. It offers HDMI support when most people still are using VGA and DVI.
Vista won't see a huge move until software starts coming out that can actually advantage of 80 GB of RAM.
Tue Jul 24, 2007 7:45 pm Subject: Re: Vista Just Too Good, Harming Mac OS X
Quotedaemon wrote:
Eh. Vista is a solution in search of a problem. It supplies support for 196 GB of RAM when most enthusiasts only suggest that you have 2 GB of RAM to get the most out of your system. It offers DX10 when all the games availble to play only utilize DX9. It offers HDMI support when most people still are using VGA and DVI.
Vista won't see a huge move until software starts coming out that can actually advantage of 80 GB of RAM.
No disagreement. DRM may also be an issue for some too.
For anybody to expect that Vista won't have a big uptake is delusional. Just because Leopard is coming out doesn't mean that Apple will suddenly take a huge (tens of percent) chunk of market share. That would happen slowly over time. Lots of time.
Tue Jul 24, 2007 8:09 pm Subject: Re: Vista Just Too Good, Harming Mac OS X
QuoteAnonymous wrote:
"Windows Vista's share of online users has increased every month this year, while rival Mac OS X -- to which Vista has often been compared -- has shown little, if any, growth, a metrics company reports."
Read and cry, idiot Apple fanboys, ROTFLMAO!
Of course, it has increased. It started from ZERO. There was no way to go but up. At the same time, it's likely that the number of users of XP, Windows 2000, etc., has gone DOWN. In contrast, the number of users of OS X has constantly increased.
Wed Jul 25, 2007 5:09 am Subject: Re: Vista Just Too Good, Harming Mac OS X
QuoteAnonymous wrote:
"Windows Vista's share of online users has increased every month this year, while rival Mac OS X -- to which Vista has often been compared -- has shown little, if any, growth, a metrics company reports."
Read and cry, idiot Apple fanboys, ROTFLMAO!
I shouldn't feed the troll, but this is a classic case of lies, damn lies and statistics. It's like saying "More Ford Mustangs are on the road every month while rival Toyota has shown little growth." You can't make meaningful comparisons between the growth of a single product and the growth of an entire company.
Wed Jul 25, 2007 2:20 pm Subject:
QuoteAnonymous wrote:
Actually, buying a new computer with a different OS than your current one is not called upgrading. Upgrading is where you buy the new OS and install it in the same computer.
It is effectively the same for Microsoft (not so for the hardware manufacturers). Depending on what happens to the machine, a license of XP (or whatever) drops out and a license for Vista starts. Vista gains and XP loses.
But yes, you are semantically correct. However, most consumers would say "I upgraded to a new computer".
QuoteIntruder wrote:
But yes, you are semantically correct. However, most consumers would say "I upgraded to a new computer".
That's incorrect terminology that would leave one with the impression that you bought an entire new computer rather than just buying the new version of the operating system and installing it on the old computer. I think most consumers would express such a situation as "I upgraded my operating system."
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