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C|Net: Vista Blunder Will Accelerate Leopard Market Share
by , 12:05 PM EDT, October 30th, 2007
Microsoft has blundered with Vista in terms of its user interface approach, and it won't take long before Apple's gain in market share will become staggering, according to Don Reisinger in his C|Net Blog.
"Simply put, Mac OS X Leopard is one of the most significant operating system achievements we have witnessed in years," Mr. Reisinger wrote. "Not only does it add functionality that Microsoft could only have dreamed of, it does so in a snappy environment that doesn't annoy you with pop-ups asking for permission or all of those security threats we have come to know (and hate) in Windows."
Basically, Microsoft has fallen and it can't get up. Microsoft's own allies in PC manufacturing balked at Vista from a consumer perspective and continued to retain XP as an option. "The entire industry is disappointed by Windows Vista. I really don't think that someone has bought a new PC specifically for Vista," Acer CEO Gianfranco Lanci explained.
As a result, Microsoft has been forced to launch a premature marketing campaign that discusses the Vista successor and remedies that will be taken in order to take the sting out of the poor reception of Vista. In addition, XP Service Pack #3 will essentially eliminate the need for Vista.
Microsoft's corporate response has been to helplessly flail about by purchasing companies that will help it retain relevance. However, more to the point, Microsoft has lost the ability to change. As a result, the rise of Apple's market share will become more and more noticeable, and Microsoft will continue to unravel.
Observer Comments
Tue Oct 30, 2007 1:02 pm Subject: I think that is a teensy bit OTT don't you.
Listen guys - Leopard is great, Vista is not that bad (ok so maybe it is not the super new Windows everybody wanted - but it is not a total bag of spanners either).
Apple's market share is growing and Apple is growing and Mac sales are up and wahey everything in the garden is rosy.
But let's be realistic - Microsoft might not have had a huge hit with Vista but 'cmon - "Microsoft has fallen and it can't get up" that is just foolish talk. Maybe this is the beginning of the end, maybe not, perhaps in 10 years time we will look back and say "Yes, that was when the MS hegemony began to crumble" But Microsoft is a huge juggernaut that even with the motor totalled and the tyres shot out is gonna keep on rolling for a long time.
Me, I am only too happy to see Microsoft taken down a few pegs and Apple and Linux to come up a few - the competition is healthy - I love Apple but I would hate to see Apple in a 95% market share position (or Ubuntu or...).
No what we need is a good healthy compatible but competitive market. We are not living in the early microcomputer age where every machine had its own totally closed OS any more and there is no reason that Linux and Mac and Windows and probably a few more couldn't all get along nicely. (Yeah in my dreams... I know.
)
I guess Cnet is switching their comment system or something, as an earlier comment I made on that blog post has vanished, along with several others. Oh well, in that it could be evidence that I actually read things on C|net perhaps its best that its now gone
But yeah, its more than just a bit premature to call Leopard's success a problem for Vista. Vista's main competitor at the moment is Windows XP, which is a problem but not the same one.
QuoteSerenak wrote:
But let's be realistic - Microsoft might not have had a huge hit with Vista but 'cmon - "Microsoft has fallen and it can't get up" that is just foolish talk. Maybe this is the beginning of the end, maybe not, perhaps in 10 years time we will look back and say "Yes, that was when the MS hegemony began to crumble" But Microsoft is a huge juggernaut that even with the motor totalled and the tyres shot out is gonna keep on rolling for a long time.
The same was said about:
- GM & Ford vs Toyota & Honda (and, now, Toyota & Honda vs Hyundai & Kia)--we won't even mention Chrysler
- RCA & Zenith vs Sony & Panasonic
- Motorola vs Nokia
- The US Postal Service vs FedEx & UPS
The history of business is littered with the corpses (some still twitching) of businesses that were "juggernauts" in their time, but which lost their dominance through inertia. They kept on doing what they had always done in the way they had always done it while other companies did an end run around the "juggernauts," taking the market with them. (FWIW, Apple's market capitalization is more than seven times that of GM.)
This happened to Apple, too, when it was being run by "businessmen." They tried to run a company that had grown by being a wiseass as if it were GM and it didn't work. Apple has the possibility of doing that again, given its dominance of the music player business. Another company with some really neat ("insanely great") product could wipe out the iPod's market share. Don't think that Jobs et al don't know this. The trick is to neither plow on, unawares, nor to be paranoid and constantly watch over your shoulder, but to move so fast and change direction so quickly that the competitors are left trying to respond to your last "one more thing," while you're working on the next three. That is one major reason, IMO, why Apple is so secretive. (It's also why I suspect that Apple had always planned to drop the price of the iPhone. They got their competitors aiming at a $600 product, then suddenly changed the game by making it a $400 product.)
As Jobs said in his commencement adress at Stanford, "Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish." Good advice for us all.
QuoteSerenak wrote:
Listen guys - Leopard is great, Vista is not that bad (ok so maybe it is not the super new Windows everybody wanted - but it is not a total bag of spanners either).
Leave off, I can get real work done with a "total bag of spanners" but I can't even suss out how to shut down effing Vista.
Tue Oct 30, 2007 5:53 pm Subject: Shutting down Vista
Quotectopher wrote:
Leave off, I can get real work done with a "total bag of spanners"; but I can't even suss out how to shut down effing Vista.
The first time I tried shut down Vista I was puzzled. Click "Start" and then click on the padlock icon to find the shutdown, sleep, restart options.
Hey, Haters! - MS Profits up 35% for the Quarter!
What kinda job do you iTards, lame-brains, nitwits, Linux fans, mormons, liars and MS-Bashers think I'm doing now? I am being heralded, regaled, praised, congratulated and cheered all over the Internet! You people who still doubt me can "eat my stained shorts!"
I don't mean to gloat, but this has been a looong time coming!
They public has vindicated me and my management style and philosophies; to you all I say thank you, you will be rewarded for sticking with us and our innovative, leading edge products and services!
I pledge to use these extra billions in a holy war against our competition and to reign in those companies that support them and their disruptive technologies!
It has been my humble pleasure serving you and our partners!
FSB
http://fakesteveballmer.blogspot.com
QuoteSteve Ballmer wrote:
I pledge to use these extra billions in a holy war against our competition and to reign in those companies that support them and their disruptive technologies!
That's "rein in," not "reign in." The former refers to control, the latter refers to assumption of a position by royal leadership. Ay carumba.
35% profits up for the quarter is really impressive, especially when the previous half-dozen or so were mediocre. It's like "extra-special plain" this quarter!
Wed Oct 31, 2007 4:07 pm Subject: Re: Reisinger is a dumbass
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