The Mac Observer

Skip navigational links

Featured Article: Consumer Reports: Apple #1 in Tech Support

 
Hidden Dimensions - A Review of Apple's Strategic Weaknesses

by
December 8th, 2006

The collective Apple community has been so intoxicated by the iPod, the success of the iTunes Store, MacBook sales, and excellent Mac OS X security that no one is reflecting on the areas where Apple is vulnerable. Perhaps it's unpleasant to think about, but neither do we want to live in a state of denial. So here are some areas where I think Apple should pay more attention.

1. High Performance Computing. HPC is hard work. It requires infrastructure, subject matter experts inside the company who can actually devote 100% of their waking hours to HPC, and it requires deep partnerships with HPC customers. When Apple realized that it would be perhaps a year from the time they announced the Intel transition until Xeon-based Xserves would ship, they pulled back. The best thing Apple has going right now is workgroup computation for bioinformatics and scientific visualization.

Apple could clean up in this area in slightly larger clusters, say 64 to 256 nodes if they put their mind to it. They're no longer constrained by IBM, and customers love what Apple brings to the table in terms of quality hardware and integration with the OS. Bottom line: there is money to be made.

2. Enterprise. Despite an excellent server platform in Xserve and Mac OS X Server OS, Apple doesn't have the infrastructure internally, the business model, or the business software to make a serious assault on the general enterprise market, not because the products are poor but because of the image Apple presents.

For example, does a corporate CEO really want to open up his system preferences and be greeted by an option called "Parental Controls"?

Here's another example. In 2005, Apple stopped providing Internet Cafes for professional conferences. The argument was that seeing Macs lined up in this fashion dilutes the brand. What Apple corporate missed out on, and what the field sales people understood, was that relationships with professional organizations are greased by these Internet Cafes. While the Mac is the best computer on the planet and the brand is strong, there are Apple senior executives who don't get the importance of enduring business relationships. There has to come a point where arrogance and branding give way to actually selling computers in the enterprise.

Enterprise customers just can't get it out of their mind that this is a company without serious business software solutions that is also focused on consumer electronics. As a result, Apple is relegated to and remains satisfied to engage some niche areas like small business, bioinformatics, and audio/video production. But because they're not on the offensive thanks to longstanding road blocks by the competition and Apple's own image, companies that covet those particular markets have a free hand to attack Apple while protecting their remaining business segments.

As Apple becomes more and more distracted by the entertainment side of computers, they risk losing what credibility they have in the enterprise, business and government, where customers desperately want to act like very sober, grown up professionals. But I don't expect anything to change.

3. Music industry. I am more and more concerned about the things I am reading about the music industry being annoyed with Apple. Yes, Apple saved the labels' tushies. Yes, Apple ignited the portable music revolution. Yes, the music labels couldn't have developed their own iTunes Store if C.S. Lewis returned with a legion of angels.

Apple has been enjoying this success and believes that inspiration, perspiration, and innovation will allow them to maintain the iPod mania for a long time. But it's also, in my view, distracting the company from the idea that the time for gloating is over, and it's time to start working with the other players in the industry to further everyone's goals. Otherwise, everyone's goal will quickly become the eradication of Apple.

As I mentioned previously in this column, the Zune is not a device designed to stand on its own merits. Instead, it's a strategic platform that gives Microsoft an entry point into the industry and a ticket to raise havoc with business deals that only Microsoft knows how to do. After all, all the other players want to do is make money selling music.

4. Entertainment industry's plans. There is great confusion but also great ambition in the video entertainment industry thanks to all the new methods of delivery. The Hollywood studios have carefully studied where the music industry went wrong, and they're learning fast. The industry as a whole is working together, and Apple isn't exactly on their Christmas card list.

All factions in the entertainment industry, the content providers and the carriers, are scurrying to make sure that Apple doesn't dominate the movie business the way they did the music business. So far, Apple hasn't made any headway, and it's only the coziness with Robert Iger at Disney that has allowed Apple to make it's first foray into selling movies. But Disney hasn't been standing still either, having overseen an agreement between ABC and Comcast to deliver various video content on demand.

Motorola is working very closely with the cable companies, Comcast, Time-Warner, Cox, et al, to deliver hardware and software that will keep their customers glued to the TV set, not the computer, and keep that cable bill cash flow ongoing.

I suspect that it has been this massive effort by all concerned, the studios, the networks, and the set-top-box manufacturers to make sure their customers have wide choice, workable DRM, and that all of them prosper in this new century. That could well be the reason behind the endless delay of the so-called "true-video" iPod with a full 100 mm (diagonal) screen. Apple can't invest a lot of effort in a portable video platform until they've secured broad agreements for content, and those seem to be hard to come by lately.

5. iPhone stress and meddling. The cell phone companies and the carriers aren't building the greatest, easiest to use, most secure phones one could conceive of, but in aggregate, Gartner says they're on pace to sell one billion cell phones per year by 2009. Verizon, from the TV ads I've seen, has learned some lessons from Apple about how to advertise their LG Chocolate phone.

Meanwhile, Apple is trying to hit a home run on it's first try with a cell phone, and it's causing a delay. Apple has a conundrum. The iPhone will have to be both the Apple of Steve's eye -- can you imagine how many engineering changes must have been made in 2006? -- and be a commercial success because Apple hates losing money on anything. And hates shipping products that people don't swoon over.

Because Americans have so much experience with cell phones, the iPhone's design trade-offs and potential risk has probably caused a great deal of distraction within Apple. Suddenly Apple is struggling to enter the movie and cell phone business simultaneously, both are critical to Apple's future and all this is likely taking up all of the Executive Team's time.

What Does it All Mean?

The distractions I've cited can't be good for Mac Pro, Xserve, Xserve RAID, Mac OS X "Leopard", the developer program, education initiatives, science, or the the enterprise. I will, however, compliment Apple on the recognition that with the success of the iPod, the Get A Mac ads must run simultaneously in order to shore up that side of the business.

Even with that, Apple runs too lean to absorb too many agendas. The structure of the company and the centralized authority must be breaking at the seams. Are they in denial? It's ironic that IBM is the source of one of the best TV commercials ever in this regard. An executive is telling his psychiatrist about a dream. He's being chased down a hallway by ghostly creatures. They're his customers. The creatures demand "everything now!" The executive begs, "what does it mean?"

The psychiatrist tells the executive, "You're too slow. You can't respond. And you're in denial."

The executive blurts "No I'm not!"

John Martellaro is a senior scientist and author. A former U.S. Air Force officer,he has worked for NASA, White Sands Missile Range, Lockheed Martin Astronautics, the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Apple Computer. During his five years at Apple, he worked as a Senior Marketing Manager for science and technology, Federal Account Executive, and High Performance Computing Manager. His interests include alpine skiing, SciFi, astronomy, and Perl. John lives in Denver, Colorado.

Hidden Dimensions Archives.

Digg!

Observer Comments

Show: Subjects Only | Full Comments
Close Name:Tiger Posts: 904 Joined: 17 Jun 2003
Subject: Insightful

Well written and thought out. Two points. Apple is making inroads to HPC. They've been co-sponsoring seminars on HPC at universities. They were at mine early this spring. The clusters are out there, being built by visionaries who see the value of cutting costs by 75%.

Second, consider entreprise a non-entity. After so many years, it should be evident that Apple doesn't WANT to go into this realm again. The margins are too small in fact for the amount of effort it takes to placate IT managers who don't have a clue about what to do with their hardware. Opportunity missed? Sure. But the time to dwell on it is over.

There is more easy money to be made in entertainment.

View Name:Guest
Subject: Subjective view of "lost" opportunities?
View Name:Guest
Subject: "irradication'?
View Name:Guest
Subject: A good start, but I think you missed one...
View Name:Guest
Subject: Business relationships
Close Name:zewazir Posts: 364 Joined: 03 Dec 2002
Subject: Re: Insightful

Quote
Tiger wrote:
Second, consider entreprise a non-entity. After so many years, it should be evident that Apple doesn't WANT to go into this realm again. The margins are too small in fact for the amount of effort it takes to placate IT managers who don't have a clue about what to do with their hardware. Opportunity missed? Sure. But the time to dwell on it is over.


I agree that Apple has long since made the decision that supplying data processing to big enterprise is not an area Apple wants to go. Apple is concentrating - and very well, mind you - on being the computer for the common folk. Their entire current ad series focusses on the difference between business computing and home computing.

Expanding into enterprise computing is not necessarily a lost opportunity. Instead Apple is in the process - again very successfully as of recent - EXPANDING their niche. Home computing is becoming more and more common, and Apple is out there grabbing a larger share of this expanding "niche". Several recent moves, such as dual boot capability, is aimed at grabbing the home computing market. Now the consumer can be compatible with work AND have all those easy-to-use FUN goodies (iPod, iLife, etc.) Apple is famous for.

Now, if Apple could get a handle on gaming, they would have the complete package to OWN the home computing market.

View Name:Guest
Subject: not games, because . .
View Name:Guest
Subject: Xserve RAID, an Example of Success
View Name:Guest
Subject: Apple is NOT trying to be an Enterprise Company
View Name:Guest
Subject: Inadequate analysis
View Name:Guest
Subject: Apple in a decentralized world
View Name:Guest
Subject: irradication
View Name:Guest
Subject: Selling to OEM & Enterprise Markets
Close Name:horvatic Posts: 99 Joined: 27 Jun 2003
Subject: Pointless story about nothing

Apple is steadily growing in the business sector and now with its new Xserves and Pro Macs online and with Leopard around the corner there will be many advancements with the pity nittpicking story. Parental controls can be ignored as they are not on by default. And a CEO of a company is not going to look at his system preferences anyways, that's why he has an I.T. department. The iPod is still on top with the best interface and online store on the planet. The Zune is a joke at best and already a total failure. Newer better iPods are on the way so I don't see any threat or failure on Apple's part there either. Ah yes, the entertainment business thinks there going to push Apple around. I think Steve Jobs has more clout then most are willing to believe especially in the media. They would essentially cut there own throats if they were to leave the iTunes music store owning almost 80% of the market. So all in all this story of Apple's weaknesses is truely all about nothing which means Apple has a lot going for it with more to come when MacWorld 2007 comes along.

View Name:Guest
Subject: Correction
View Name:Guest
Subject: Yes, difficult things are stressful to a company, but...
View Name:Guest
Subject: You are correct
Close Name:pilky Posts: 4 Joined: 29 Nov 2006
Subject: Apple is building for the future

While it may seem like Apple is growing too thin, they are obviously planning for a future where they branch out much more. The 2nd Apple campus shows that they are wanting things to be more efficient. It will allow more engineers to work closer with each other. Apple has a huge potential for growth, it just has to re-adjust slightly to do that. The first stage of that re-adjustment was the switch to Intel chips, the next will probably be the iPod/iTV combo, the third being the iPhone

View Name:Guest
Subject: John Martellaro doesn't understand Apple's Strategy
Close Name:Rainy Day Posts: 607 Joined: 07 Jun 2005
Subject: Off the mark

I feel you are off the mark on just about everything in your analysis. I agree with horvatic et al who say that Apple has more clout in multi-media market than you give them credit for. I disagree that they need to dominate HPC or Enterprise (their current entry offerings are just fine, thank you). Apple is well on the way to a strong foothold in small business, which is probably a larger market than Enterprise.

Nor do i agree with your comment: “The distractions I've cited can't be good for Mac Pro, Xserve, Xserve RAID, Mac OS X "Leopard", the developer program, education initiatives, science, or the the enterprise.” I think we will find that Leopard is well integrated with voice technology and a fine OS, and the new Xeon Xserve has already started to receive accolades. Apple is a corporation. While Steve Jobs might have a tight hold of the reigns, there are other people who can manage projects without his micromanagement. His reputation notwithstanding, i think he understands that and isn’t afraid to delegate.

View Name:Guest
Subject:
View Name:Guest
Subject: Choosing where not to play.
Close Name:JulesLt Posts: 136 Joined: 06 Jul 2005
Subject: One more area

I'd like to throw in the risk presented by the growth in web app technologies - we're finally seeing what Java applets were supposed to give us - applications deployed through the browser.

In short, what threatens the MS dependency (dependency on the Windows APIs) also threatens Apple.

View Name:Guest
Subject: but neither do we want to live in a state of denial
Close Name:iJack Posts: 254 Joined: 13 Jun 2001
Subject:

Quote
Guest wrote:
"...the importance of enduring business relationships..." - double entendre?

More an oxymoron, me thinks.

View Name:Guest
Subject: Choosing where not to play.
View Name:Guest
Subject: SQL on Macs
View Name:Guest
Subject: Enterprise insurgency
View Name:Guest
Subject: pc games over? I think not
Close Name:JulesLt Posts: 136