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Just A Thought - iPod Shuffle: The Next 5 Years

by
October 27th, 2006

Consider, for a moment, the new iPod shuffle; a matchbook sized music playing badge that is inexpensive (US $79) and no doubt it will be a lot of fun to own and use. With its aluminum skin and minimalist controls, it's a rugged little bit, something you'd have no fear wearing while doing something physical, like...um...lumberjacking, bull riding, or ice climbing.

As cool as this little jewel is, there are technologies on the way could make the shuffle, and its larger siblings, even cooler.

For example, Wireless USB could let the iPod shuffle sync to your Mac or PC whenever it got within 30 feet, it would then download music, randomly picking tunes to add or remove from your shuffle, thus keeping the music on your shuffle fresh without you doing a thing.


iPod shuffle
The same Wireless USB connection might also allow truly cool wireless headsets similar to the wired EyeBud 800, so that you are finally be unencumbered by cables. You wear a music badge and a headset, both likely weighing no more than 2 ounces.

New battery technologies from M.I.T. and other places could also revolutionized music players. The shuffle's current 12 hour playback time could more than triple and recharge times might be halved using battery technologies from A123 Systems.

So, you could shuffle along with your shuffle playing music continuously for a day and a half, playing new music, never hearing the same song twice, before even thinking about recharging.

If that's not enough, other technologies from M.I.T. could double again the playback time, while recharge times could be measured in minutes. Or, it might never need to be recharged externally -- how about a self recharging system similar to those found on expensive watches that convert the wearer's motions into iPod power?

New NAND Flash memory technologies promise higher capacities and lower power needs, so your 1 gig shuffle could soon be replace by 2, 4, or even 8 gig models. (but would they be shuffles anymore?)

Basically, what this means is that today or eminently soon, technology will allow the creation of a seemingly perpetually available music source that can hold weeks worth of music or data that can be played or accessed virtually (no physical connection whatsoever).

Your iPod could link you to other devices for social networking, link to your entertainment system for movies or music play and more.

Imagine a scenario where you walk into Best Buy and up to a kiosk, you press a button indicating which movie you want to see, then you start shopping. While you shop your credit card is debited the cost of the movie and it downloads while you shop. When you return home the movie automagically downloads into your Mac (or PC) where it can be streamed to your TV via iTV.

When the iPod was introduced five years ago, it was all about the music. Now slim slim screen iPods play movies and games as well, and there's seems to be no end to the type and quality of iPod accessories.

iPod nanos can show photos and there are accessories for it that are just too darn cool as well (watch for my upcoming Just a Peek on the Nike + iPod Sports Kit, and Marware's Sportssuit Relay and Sensor +).

Everyone is waiting for the generation 6 iPods, believing that the new devices will have physical capabilities that will surpass everything currently on the market, and what may be on the market in the near future (Zune?) -- but these capabilities are only a shadow of what might be in store for us in the not-too-distant future.

A while back I wrote an article where kids played a virtual Star Wars games wearing iPod-like devices and peering through glasses that superimposed computer generated action onto real life scenes. The iPods in my story had become kind of mobile Nintendo Wii devices where the controllers respond to the user's movements allowing him or her to interact with what's being displayed.

The convergence of technologies may actually produce such a device. Whether that device is an iPod or not remains to be seen, but one thing is for sure; just as today's iPod is markedly different than the device introduced five years ago, the iPod available five years from now won't be like any iPod available today.

New technologies and new wants and needs from the buying public will evolve the little white music player into something completely different. It seems that Steve Jobs was wrong after all; when it comes to iPods, it isn't just about the music (stupid).

Vern Seward is a writer who currently lives in Orlando, FL. He's been a Mac fan since Atari Computers folded, but has worked with computers of nearly every type for 20 years.

Just a Thought Archives.

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Observer Comments

Show: Subjects Only | Full Comments
Close Name:iJack Posts: 267 Joined: 13 Jun 2001
Subject: Where Ya Been...

Vern? Seems like you haven't been around much lately.

Close Name:gslusher Posts: 2043 Joined: 13 Nov 2002
Subject:

Lessee, "wireless USB": the battery life will drop dramatically, especially if it's on all the time. My Palm TX has both WiFi and Bluetooth. Leaving either on (even if not connected to a node) drops the battery life by at least 1/3.

"technologies from MIT" (where I got all three of my degrees): Ultracapacitors are great for providing quick bursts of energy, but how appropriate would they be for a low-current device like an iPod? One major problem is that, like all capacitors, their voltage is a function of their charge. Reduce the charge by 1/2 and the voltage drops by 1/2. That would be unacceptable for almost any electronics device. The voltage in chemical batteries is much more constant, as it depends upon the nature of the chemical reaction. (They do drop when nearly fully discharged, as the internal resistance increases, leading to a greater voltage drop within the battery.)

As for "higher capacity flash memory," we already have those--they're called, "iPod Nanos." Would you really want 4GB of music storage without a good way to select it?

Kiosk sales would make sense, but some stores might resist them, as they could cut into much more profitable DVD and CD sales.

Close Name:Bosco Posts: 999 Joined: 03 Jun 2002
Subject: Not the future at all.

The future is some kind of implant on your arm that can receive audio and video that can be overlaid on your everyday experience. You would have a soundtrack for your life, but nobody else would hear it. Imagine watching a Friends rerun while on a boring date, wondering what your boring date is watching. That is the future.

View Name:Guest
Subject: Hey! How about...
View Name:Guest
Subject: ummm
View Name:Guest
Subject: The Suffle
Close Name:DrD Posts: 41 Joined: 28 Apr 2003
Subject: I'm not so sure

Vern, while I understand your ideas for development of the shuffle beyond it's current form, I'm really not so sure. Yes battery power can be improved, and perhaps more importantly so could recharging time. However, I see this resulting in yet smaller form factors if that is possible. Wireless, as already mentioned is a terrible battery hog and prone to interference particularly with real time audio, I have doubts if the benefits are worth the cost commercially.

Although it was originally posted as a joke, the picture with Steve Jobs with the shuffle as an ear clip is perhaps not so far off the mark. A behind the ear device could even be made with today's technology. Ironically such a device may never be a commercial success as it would be too discrete and wouldn't have the badge effect the shuffle shows of 'I'm listening to my music'.

I suspect we see in the current shuffle the limit of shrinking the size while maintaining the function - perhaps it is the perfection of the shufle music device - or is that just me being short sighted?

View Name:Guest
Subject: The Future of MP3 players
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