Analyst: Minimal Impact Seen From Stock Options Probe
TMO Reports - Analyst: Minimal Impact Seen From Stock Options Probe
by , 12:30 PM EDT, October 5th, 2006
Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster on Thursday weighed in on Apple's stock options probe, noting that while the 15 impacted option grants was more than he had expected, he sees minimal financial impact. He wrote: "Apple will take a non-cash charge for options related compensation expense. In addition Apple will pay back taxes, which we estimate will be less than $50 million, which would be less than 0.6% of Apple's cash on the balance sheet."
In addition, Mr. Munster said that the elimination of "remote risk to [CEO Steve] Jobs' position at Apple" should ease investors' concerns that "the options investigation could somehow spiral out of control and lead to the end of Steve Jobs' career at Apple."
He maintained his "Outperform" rating on Apple's stock, with a US$99 price target. The latest news doesn't seem to have concerned investors too much: At 12:29 PM EST on Thursday, the company's shares were selling for $75.43, up 0.7% for the day.
If you are interested in Apple's stock, join our forum members in the Apple Finance Boards, a moderated forum for Apple Investors and people who are interested in Apple's financial dealings. For other stories regarding Apple's stock activity, visit our updated Apple Stock Watch Special Report.
Observer Comments
Thu Oct 05, 2006 2:28 pm Subject: Delusionville is not a river in Egypt
Where do you start with this? The problem isn't back-dating options per se. The problem is not expensing them. If they are expensed (as has been proposed for the GAAP accounting practices that all companies are supposed to follow) and not just printed out of thin air, then back-dating 100 years is just fine. You just have to reflect the difference in price offered and market price on the day actually granted.
Let's say AAPL restates earning significantly. It probably won't, but lets say it does. I doubt it affects the stock price because earnings 3 years ago don't mean squat to the company's valuation today. AAPL pays no dividend, so it's value is not really even a direct function of historical earnings, just a stock market determined multiple of most recent earnings. And that multiple is sky high compared to any company it competes with. So technically, Wu-Munster is probably right.
But, big big but, the SEC is out trying to make a point. And what if Apple's little self examination and sacrifice of Freddy isn't good enough for them? The scandal just gets bigger. It's too obscure for most in the public to understand (unlike HP), so it will have a long incubation time. You know, it's so easy for AAPL to come completely clean on this and make a proactive fix: start expensing options. They can afford to just pay their execs and engineers competitive salaries rather than mucking around with the stock component and "invisibly" taking the compensation out of shareholder value
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