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Analyst: Apple Will Be Bigger Than IBM

by , 4:40 PM EDT, May 23rd, 2007

Apple's growth will lead to the company being bigger than erstwhile foe and partner IBM, according to Georges Yared, CIO of Yared Investment Research, in a blog post he made at BloggingStocks.com. Mr. Yared said that Apple's growth, fueled by new products and control of the customer chain, will see the company's stock hit a market capitalization higher than that of IBM, a company that does more than four times as much business as Apple.

"The direction of both companies are at a variance to each other and Apple is certainly enjoying the strength of a major product cycle," wrote Mr. Yared. IBM, on the other hand, "is stuck in the phase of 3-4% top line growth, defending its turf from erstwhile competitors and few new products in its pipeline."

Higher margins, higher growth, a better product pipeline, and other positive factors at Apple will all be rewarded by Wall Street, he said, even if Apple never surpasses IBM in terms of revenue.

His conclusion based on these factors is that, "With top line and bottom line growth at 20%+, higher and sustainable operating margins, major new product cycle and a strong-controlled distribution system, I feel that Apple will hit the magical $200 billion market capitalization number before IBM does and IBM currently has a $50 billion+ lead in the race."

*In the interest of full disclosure, the author holds a small share in AAPL stock that was not an influence in the creation of this article.  


If you are interested in Apple's stock, join our forum members in the Apple Finance Boards, a moderated forum for Apple Investors and people who are interested in Apple's financial dealings. For other stories regarding Apple's stock activity, visit our updated Apple Stock Watch Special Report.

Observer Comments

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View Name:Guest
Subject: Microsoft will hit that even before Apple does!
Close Name:gslusher Posts: 2001 Joined: 13 Nov 2002
Subject: Re: Microsoft will hit that even before Apple does!

Quote
Anonymous wrote:
<i>Apple will hit the magical $200 billion market capitalization number before IBM does</i>

But, Microsoft will hit that even before Apple does! Ha Ha!


First, learn to use BBCode. You use the square brackets, not pointy brackets.

As for your point, if Microsoft were to "hit" $200B market capitalization, it would be a disaster, as they're already worth nearly $300B.

IBM's market capitalization is now about $157B. Apple's is $98B.

What may be more useful is the P/E (Price to Earnings) ratios:

Microsoft PE = 22.13

IBM PE = 16.82

Apple PE = 35.71

Apple's stock is quite expensive, reflecting high expectations for growth.

Close Name:Bryan -   TMO Staff Posts: 7325 Joined: 11 Jun 2001
Subject:

It's rather interesting that Apple's P/E has remained so high. Time to delve into the Apple Finance Board here at TMO to see what the finance geeks thinks about that.

And, I personally imagine that Microsoft will remain far, far more profitable than Apple in terms of both gross profit and profit margins for the foreseeable future. Not that this is relevant to the topic of Mr. Yaren's opinion (as noted by glslusher).

And speaking of that point, I find the notion of Apple eventually having a higher market cap than IBM to be profoundly thought-provoking.

View Name:Guest
Subject: I Like Those PE Numbers
View Name:Guest
Subject:
View Name:Guest
Subject:
View Name:Guest
Subject: Why?
View Name:Guest
Subject:
Close Name:gslusher Posts: 2001 Joined: 13 Nov 2002
Subject:

Quote
Anonymous wrote:
Quote
gslusher wrote:
As for your point, if Microsoft were to &quot;hit&quot; $200B market capitalization, it would be a disaster, as they're already worth nearly $300B.


Get past the square vs pointy details, and try to appreciate the sarcasm that was intended. Microsoft's market cap was half a trillion just a few years back. So what direction has it been moving in relative to Apple's? Seems reasonable to extrapolate their projected market cap reaching 200bn before Apple gets there. Get it?


You didn't make it clear that you were being sarcastic rather than ignorant. A lot of that comes from not making the effort to register and log in. We know that Bosco's comments are very often sarcastic and/or tongue in cheek, but you look like every other "Guest" who posts, which includes quite a few for whom facts are a major intellectual challenge.

Close Name:gslusher Posts: 2001 Joined: 13 Nov 2002
Subject:

Quote
Anonymous wrote:
AppleTV (whoa, wait, AppleTV no longer has a link on the main www.apple.com page)


That's normal. Apple usually has the newest products on the main page. Though I don't see an article on TMO about it, yet, Apple just bumped the MacBook a bit:

1.83 or 2.0 gHz --> 2.0 or 2.16 gHz
160 GB max HD --> 200 GB
512 MB standard RAM --> 1 GB

View Name:Guest
Subject: Granted
View Name:Guest
Subject: Here it is...
View Name:Guest
Subject:
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