AmTech Reinstates AAPL Buy Rating, Ups Target Price
AmTech Reinstates AAPL Buy Rating, Ups Target Price
by , 11:05 AM EDT, May 5th, 2008
American Technology Research analyst Shaw Wu reinstated his "Buy" rating for Apple's stock on Monday and boosted his target price from US$175 up to $210. Mr. Wu had lowered his rating to "Neutral" just a day before Apple's second quarter earnings report.
Prior to Apple's positive quarterly earnings report, Mr. Wu voiced concerns over how much investors were expecting from the Mac, iPod and iPhone maker. He also expressed concerns over the company's high valuation and stock volatility.
"We overestimated the potential negative reaction on the quarter and in hindsight should have moderated our near-term posture rather than downgrading," Mr. Wu said. "While Apple shares will likely remain volatile and may offer a better entry point, we need to align our rating with our longer term view on fundamentals."
In the short term, however, Apple is likely to experience a "product vacuum" while customers await the arrival of new iPhone and portable Mac models which he expects will appear in the second half of 2008.
Looking forward, Mr. Wu sees a positive outlook for Apple since consumers will be looking for easy to use multimedia devices. "Integrating technologies into products that are simple and elegant has continually proven not to be easy," he said. "Apple is an innovator and integrator of technologies. No supplier does this better than Apple and no competitor has better vision on where consumer markets are headed."
Apple is currently trading at $184.9301, up 3.9901 (2.21%).
If you are interested in Apple's stock, join our forum members in the Apple Finance Boards, a moderated forum for Apple Investors and people who are interested in Apple's financial dealings. For other stories regarding Apple's stock activity, visit our updated Apple Stock Watch Special Report.
Observer Comments
I'm sure there will be plenty of Apple fans bashing Mr. Wu on this, but please keep in mind; Mr. Wu was one of the very bullish analysts throughout last year. This includes January this year, when AAPL sank 40%. Two weeks, ago, AAPL was looking at extremely rapid recovery, and at the end of a disastrous quarter for the US economy, it was just not prudent to expect Apple to beat the Street expectations by that much. Thus, Mr. Wu recommended caution (he didn't d 'Sell'; just 'Hold'). Having heard the very strong rumours about iPhone 3G in the weeks since, he can now comfortably recommend AAPL again without reservations.
Anyone who listened to Mr. Wu during last year would be swimming in AAPL profits by now. Last two weeks could have lost them no more than about 8%, compared to close to 100% gains in one year.
You're defending Wu but how can you defend someone who downgrades a stock on the eve of an earnings report that, in every way, looked like it would be showing extremelly strong results?
When you are an analyst, you analyse the company and the market. By market I mean customers of client's products, not the stock market. If (or should I say when?) you're not trying to manipulate the market, you leave it free to act on its own after you tell your customers how good a company/stock they have. That's what they should stick with doing, analysing the companies behind the stock.
Let me make it simple for you: you say invest or disinvest (in a certain stock) according to how strong or weak its company is going. Other than that, all that remains is worthy of crystal ball predicting, something analysts shouldn't do.
If Wu wanted to warn his clients of possible dangers coming from selloffs after Apple's Earnings Report, well he should have just done that: he should have issued a warning note telling clients they should beware of that possibility since that was what had happened in the 1st quarter. He would, nevertheless, be gambling a lot.
He didn't, he downgraded the stock in a very confusing note full of contradictions, saying there were lost of doubts about the company and the future of its products, "forgetting" about the 3G iPhone coming etc. etc.
I know Mr Wu has been all bulish about AAPL previously. Except maybe when in 2006 he invented rumors and then guided the market to offload AAPL stock because Apple was not meeting expectations HE HAD misleadingly CREATED!
What Mr Wu seems to have very straightforwardly done by downgrading AAPL in the eve of Apple's Earnings Reports is something called market manipulation.
He's now the mockery of the market and living proof of something most people have by now realised: that most analysts are useless and outright a disservice to their customers [but not to themselves].
He will keep analysing and predicting Apple's next moves but nobody in one's own mind will pay attention.
I regret it is so, I indeed enjoyed reading the reports on his forecasts. Who knows, maybe the man was under a lot of stress at the time or his family was being threatened at gun point and he had to do it anyway...
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