The Mac Observer

Piper Jaffray Says Fear Outweighing Fundamentals for AAPL

September 29th, 2008 at 3:00 PM - Apple Stock Watch by John Martellaro

Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster said on Monday in a note to investors obtained by TMO, that fear is outweighing fundamental analysis as investors arenit seeing the light at the end of the investment crisis tunnel

Mr. Munster wrote:

  1. Consumer [spending] is slowing, but Street models reflect the slowdown. Our FY08 Mac unit growth estimate is 40%, going to 16% in FY09. We expect Mac growth of 29% this quarter.
  2. We believe margin pressure concerns will prove to be overblown. The Street is modeling for 32% gross margin in FY09, down from 34% in FY08. We expect margin guidance to be 30-31% for December, in line or above the companyis 30% gross margin guidance for FY09.
  3. A disappointing preannouncement for Sept. is unlikely. We do not believe Apple will preannounce a disappointing September quarter. Our analysis of two months of NPD data on Mac and iPod, which has a 0.90 correlation, suggests 5% upside to Street numbers.

The PJC analyst noted that there is big picture risk, with the U.S. banking meltdown spreading to Europe, and a continued global slowdown will impact equity investments. However, "Apple is better positioned than other tech players to weather the storm," he concluded.

Login. Need an account? Register here.



Auto-login on future visits

Show my name in the online users list

Forgot your password?


Commenting is not available in this section entry.
 

Recent Headlines - Updated September 6th

Sat, 10:45 AM
News - iOS 4.1 Launch Set for Sept 8
Fri, 8:09 PM
News - Ping Tops 1 Million Users in Two Days
5:03 PM
News - Quantcast: Android Eats into iOS Lead of Mobile Browsing
4:24 PM
Free on iTunes - Netflix, Fotopedia, The Citadel and More
2:49 PM
John Martellaro's Blog - Particle Debris (wk. ending 9/3) A Bundle of Critical Thinking
1:26 PM
Deal Brothers - Cavalry Storage 1TB USB 2.0 External Hard Drive:  $59.99
11:22 AM
Games - Assault Commando Hits the App Store
10:46 AM
Product News - Chronicle for Mac Adds Income Tracking
10:06 AM
Hot Forum Topic - Reader Debate: Why Buy the New Apple TV
9:30 AM
News - Facebook May Be Blocking Ping
8:51 AM
TMO Appearances - Dave Hamilton, Chuck La Tournous Discuss Apple Media Event on MacJury
8:19 AM
News - Apple Highlights Upcoming iPad Features
 

The Mac Observer Reader Specials

  • Buy Stuff, Support TMO!
  • Read TMO on Kindle

  • TMO on Twitter!

Apple Stock Quote

  • AAPL: $258.77. Change: +6.60.
  • (Prices delayed up to 20 minutes.)
  • Discuss in our Apple Finance Board

Hot Topics

TMO Express

Join the TMO Express Daily Newsletter to get the latest Mac headlines in your e-mail every weekday. Find out more!

Top Deals From DealBrothers.com

Recent Features

Support The Mac Observer

We noticed you may be running AdBlock on your computer. It takes real money to run this site and to deliver the news, tips, and opinions you love to read.

If you wish to block the ads that pay for the creation of our content, we ask that you instead support TMO Directly, either with a $5 monthly recurring contribution, or a one-time donation of any amount of your choice. Thanks!

Subscribe with Paypal Donate with Paypal