Analyst: Don’t Hold Your Breath for Verizon iPhone

| Apple Stock Watch

Following reports that Apple may be working on a CDMA-based iPhone for Verizon, UBS analyst Maynard Um is saying that’s not likely — at least not this year. Instead, he thinks if Apple is working on a CDMA-compatible iPhone, it’s for the Chinese market.

“While a new iPhone (update to the 3GS) in June is in line with our expectations, we believe a launch of a CDMA-based phone with Verizon this year is unlikely but believe a CDMA phone could be launched with other operators later in the year,” Mr. Um said. He added that China Telecom and KDDI are possible carriers for a CDMA-based iPhone.

Currently, Verizon relies on CDMA for its cell network in the U.S., while other carriers — including AT&T — rely on the GSM technology used in the iPhone. Apple struck an exclusive iPhone deal with AT&T, and despite ongoing rumors that the Cupertino-based company is ready to work with other carriers in the U.S., hasn’t brought any other cell service providers onboard.

If Apple is developing a CDMA version of the iPhone, Mr. Um thinks its more likely the phone will be built for China’s proprietary version of CDMA, and won’t include compatibility for Verizon’s network.

Looking forward towards the next iPhone update, expected to hit around June, Mr. Um sees several new features coming to the combination iPod and smartphone. “Based on our checks, new and enhanced features of the new iPhones to be released in June may potentially be based around back touch (will allow touch capability from both the front and back of the phone), HD playback and recording, a 5 megapixel camera, potentially higher NAND storage (64Gb model), increased battery life, AMOLED screen (better viewing experience), and new applications,” he said.

Mr. Um also expects the new iPhone models will hit the US$199 and $299 price point, and that the current iPhone 3GS will replace the iPhone 3G at the $99 price point.

Mr. Um is maintaining his “Buy” rating and $280 target price for Apple’s stock. Apple is currently trading at $236.91, up 4.52 (1.94%).

Comments

Piedmont

So many internet storys say the opposite, one says the iPhone is coming to verizon 4 sure, next article says it will not.  No way for the public to really know based on all the major conflicting information. Only real answer is to wait for a statement from VZW or Sprint etc.

daemon

Maynard Um is completely confused by the rumours.

Look, the Verizon rumour is simple, the 4th Gen iPhone with LTE coming out this summer will debut on Verizon’s brand new LTE network.

See? No need for CDMA anything!

Fish

No one seems to be mentioning that Verizon will begin roll out of its 4G network starting this year. They have chosen to use Long Term Evolution (LTE), which is the next GSM standard, and the same 4G network that AT&T will use. It doesn’t seem practical, to me, for Apple to waste the money to build a CDMA handset for Verizon when it can just wait until they have decent progress in their roll out LTE.

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