Particle Debris (week ending 2/5) Regrets and Delights

| Particle Debris

The week started off with a lot of iPad-related speculation. Like this one from TechCrunch on Monday. Some say its utter nonsense. Some say it's just the beginning of of a whole new line of tablets from Apple. (I fall into the latter camp.) Judge for yourself.

Also, some sharp eyed people at Cult of Mac think they saw an iSight video port at the top of the iPad that Steve Jobs demoed -- and have a photo to prove it. Whether it's active or not, no one knows, but Leander Kahney noted, "...references to a camera have been found in both the iPad’s Address Book software and the iPad firmware." Some rumors suggest that AT&T asked for it to be disabled. Others suggest it's an item for iPad 2.0. No one knows right now.

How many iPads will Apple sell in 2010? That's a good question. Fortune Magazine collected the estimates of 14 Wall Street analysts, and the number ranges from a paltry 1.1 million (Yair Reiner, Oppenheimer) to 7.0 million (Brian Marshall, Broadpoint AmTech). Interestingly, Gene Munster, one of the most positive of the Apple analysts, was not leading the pack on this one. Also of interest, the estimate picks up wildly for 2011, perhaps because they suspect supplies will be limited in 2010? Here at TMO we don't think supplied will be constrained as they have been with the iPhone. My own estimate is 6 million for 2010.

The Apple Collection has published five pages of Apple prototypes from the past. Some made it into production and some look eerily familiar. Check it out.

Midweek, I was directed to this charming perspective by Sir Patrick Stewart -- his thoughts on Twitter and his "beautiful" iPhone. Even if you're not a fan of Mr. Stewart, this short video provides some food for thought, even if, as a non hard-core technologist, he does lack some insight into the benefits of following the right kinds of other technologists on Twitter. Highly recommended.

How do developers feel about the iPad? David Dixon, over at Macworld, provided his thoughts on the potential of Apple's new smartbook and the opportunities it will offer developers.

Here's an interesting short essay at the Edible Apple by a fellow who's been at work for Google for just a month. He already has some keen insights: "...the corporate culture is based on hiring really smart people, giving them responsibilities, letting them know what problems the company thinks it should focus on, then letting them figure out how to tackle it." A short but good read.

Finally, in the context of Apple TV, the iPad, and all the technical possibilities these days for home video, (plus the so-called "Hulu Household,") Dan Frommer explains why he had to reverse course and go back to Cable TV in: "Why I Caved, Bought Cable TV, And Gave Up On My 'Hulu Household" And he's delighted with the decision.

Personally, I've never understood those who seek the Holy Grail of one perfect, all inclusive video delivery system -- that also costs the least. It's just not possible, nor even desirable. Mr. Frommer's essay demonstrates that practicality is still a better approach than a frustrating search for video nirvana. But it will cost a little more too. "So while the 'Hulu household' experiment was fine, I'm actually pretty glad it's over -- especially now that I'm spending more weeknights at home, and fewer nights out on the town. Maybe I'm just getting older and more willing to pay a little extra for high quality home entertainment."

As they say, and especially with regard to our current state of the art in video entertainment, Perfect is the enemy of Good Enough. Be relaxed and be flexible is my mantra.

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Comments

geoduck

Well, I agree with Sir Stewart about Twitter. I’d love to see his reaction when he plays with an iPad, being that it’s so much like his beloved iPhone AND the Pads in Star Trek. You know maybe Apple should bring him onboard for advertising. Jean-Luc Picard in his ready room studying a document. The camera swings around behind his desk and looking over his shoulder we see it’s an iPad and he’s playing Minesweeper.

The prototypes are really cool but the site is awful. The thumbnails are small but worst of all you cannot flip through them. If you find one you want to see close you click on the thumbnail, when you’re done hit back, click on the next one, hit back, etc. 1990s navigation. Ugh.

What is this Hulu thing you speak of? I’ve heard mythical reports of something by that name but here in Canada it’s never been seen in the wild.

iJack

Well, I agree with Sir Stewart about Twitter.

Actually GD, it would be “Sir Patrick,” if he had been knighted, so his first name would follow his title.  If he were a Lord (Earl, Viscount, Baron, etc.), it would be Lord Stewart in the context of your sentence.

However, Stewart was awarded the Officer of the British Empire (OBE), so is not actually a knight, nor is he entitled to the “Sir.”

Hulu.  They have a website and a nice downloadable app, Hulu Desktop.  However, if you want to watch anything that originated on CBS (Columbia Broadcasting Company), you’ll have to go to their website to watch, because they don’t allow Hulu or anyone else to stream their content. 

http://www.hulu.com/

Terrin

This is not correct. Yes, in 2000 the Queen awarded him Officer of the British Empire and that alone would not allow him to use “Sir.” In 2010, however, the Queen also awarded him Knight Bachelor of the Order of the British Empire. Accordingly, he is entitled to use “Sir.”

However, Stewart was awarded the Officer of the British Empire (OBE), so is not actually a knight, nor is he entitled to the ?Sir.?

geoduck

So apparently it would be Sir Patrick. I stand corrected. I just plead that I grew up in the back woods on the wrong side of the Atlantic.

iJack

In 2010, however, the Queen also awarded him Knight Bachelor of the Order of the British Empire.

I see that he is on the New Year’s Honours List, but has he actually received the knighthood yet?

I had a friend in England who won a knighthood for his leadership and heroism in the Faulklands war.  I saw his name in the Honours List at the end of 198?,  but didn’t actually become “Sir John” until a few months later - the Spring, I think.

Terrin

I admit ignorance concerning whether there is a delay of some sort between when the honor was bestowed and when it takes affect. Nonetheless, I don’t think the Queen would mind if we started calling him Sir a little early. :O)

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