The Mac Observer

Analysis

Survey Finds Tablet Market Is Now a 1.3 Horse Race

TMO Talk (26)

Consumers have finally found a tablet that garners 34% of the interest as Apple’s iPad, making the tablet horse a 1.3 horse race. Changewave Research released results for its November survey on future buying intent in the tablet market and found that Amazon’s Kindle Fire has firmly claimed a distant #2 spot in demand behind Apple’s iPad.

Let’s start by looking at the trends. Changewave found that 14% of respondents were planning to purchase a media tablet in the next 90 days—that’s double the number from the August survey and more than three times the number in its November 2010 survey. The figure below shows that trend line for the last 13 months.

Changewave Chart

Of those 14% of respondents planning to buy a tablet, 65% of them plan on buying an iPad. Should those buying plans be borne out, Apple will have a 65% of a market that has grown by a factor of three in the last year.

Changewave put it thus: “Apple continues to show enormous strength in the tablet market, where it’s enjoying the best quarter in its history, according to the survey.”

At the same time, however, the research firm added, “While two-out-of-every-three future buyers plan on purchasing an Apple iPad (65%), for the first time since the launch of the original model, there is a double-digit contender for the number two spot.”

The figure below shows the top three devices, Apple’s iPad, Amazon’s Kindle Fire, and Samsung’s Galaxy Tab. The iPad leads Kindle Fire by almost 3:1, but the Kindle Fire leads the Galaxy Tab by 5.5:1, and Changewave notes that, “No other manufacturer is garnering more than 1% of future tablet demand among consumers.”

Changewave Chart

That speaks to how dominant Apple’s position has been in the tablet market, but it also speaks to how big a splash Amazon has made with its Kindle Fire tablet. It might lag far behind Apple in terms of purchase intent, but it’s the first non-Apple media tablet to be able to thrust its head above the riff raff of the other Android devices.

Looking more closely at the Kindle Fire’s results, Changewave found that 2% of the 14% planning on buying a tablet in the next 90 days had already pre-ordered a Kindle Fire. 5% were “Very Likely” to buy one, while another 12% were “Somewhat Likely” to buy one, as shown in the figure below.

Changewave Chart

Since the survey was taken, Amazon shipped the Kindle Fire, and some analysts think Amazon will sell as many as five million units during the Christmas quarter.

If the device does end up doing well, Changewave said that an, “Amazon surge may also contain a silver lining for Apple, by damaging the tablet market hopes of the remaining competitors in the field.”

To that end, the company also said that the survey shows the Kindle Fire is, “wreaking a devastating blow to a range of second tier tablet manufacturers, including Motorola, RIM, Dell, HTC, H-P and Toshiba.”

Most, if not all, of those companies are seldom included on anyone’s list of “second tier” makers of just about anything, but the tablet market continues to be something more appropriately called “the iPad market.” So far, that has meant that all other contenders aside from Amazon are considered “second tier,” no matter how big their stature in other markets.

Changewave believes that some of this is because Apple continues to hold far higher customer satisfaction marks than other tablet makers. The figure below shows that 74% of respondents are “Very Satisfied” with their iPads, while 49% of respondents who own other tablets said the same thing. That survey does not include Kindle Fire owners, as the device hadn’t shipped when the company conducted the survey.

Changewave Chart

Post A Comment or Log-in. Need an account? Register here.

2 Observer Comments

   Actions Serge_K said on November 22nd, 2011 at 7:10 AM (Edited: 11/22/2011 7:11 AM):

They have to make Kindle Fire popular beyond US, say in Europe.
Found some reviews here Kindle review

I actually was a bit surprised to not see the Xoom on the list.  With the Motorola/Google deal I was expecting to see a bump up on the Xoom side.  You know, from 1% to 2%!!

Post A Comment or Log-in. Need an account? Register here.
 

Recent Headlines - Updated May 27th

Sat, 10:00 AM
MacOS KenDensed - MacOS KenDensed: Apple’s Patent Lawsuit & Antitrust Shuffle
Fri, 5:58 PM
News - Sotheby’s to Auction Steve Jobs Atari Memo (Photo Gallery)
5:42 PM
Free on iTunes - 3 Free iOS Apps for News Hounds
3:00 PM
Rumor - Nest Thermostat Reportedly Coming to Apple Retail Stores
2:40 PM
Particle Debris - The TV Industry’s Dreadful Little Secret
2:33 PM
News - Mobile Devices Account for 20% of Web Traffic in US, Canada
12:49 PM
News - Apple Now Offering “Free App of the Week” for iOS
12:21 PM
News - Tim Cook Declines $75 Million Dividend Payout
11:25 AM
News - Absinthe 2.0 Provides Untethered Jailbreak for iOS 5.1.1
11:09 AM
Quick Look Review - F18 Carrier Landing (iOS) is a Boatload of Fun
10:51 AM
TMO Appearances - Jeff Gamet talks Cool Apps & Accessories on Not Another Mac Podcast
10:12 AM
Hot Forum Topic - Forum Poll: Which is Your Favorite Photo Sharing Service?
 

The Mac Observer Reader Specials

  • Macsales.com SuperSpeed SSDs from $58. Transform your Mac with an SSD Solution of up to 960GB! You won't believe it's the same machine! Once you experience an OWC SSD, no going back! - Macsales.com
  • Mac RAM Upgrades: MacBook Pro 16GB kits $475, 8GB Kits for $119.99! iMac 16GB RAM Kits (4x 4GB) for $229.99! Mac Pro Memory 32GB Kit for $399.99, 64GB Kit for $889.99! Mac Hard Drives 2TB Seagate SATA II for $249.99! Click Here!
  • Macpokeronline.com If you're using a Mac, then you've gotta check out PokerOnAMac.com. Online casinos and poker rooms are literally giving away cash and the casino sites at Poker on a Mac do the unthinkable, they actually reward! Join today, the download is free!
  •  Looking to find online casinos for mac? We can help you find the best real money casino sites where you can play your favorite casino games including blackjack and slots.

Apple Stock Quote (AAPL)

Loading...

Hot Topics

TMO Express

Join the TMO Express Daily Newsletter to get the latest Mac headlines in your e-mail every weekday. Find out more!

Top Deals From DealBrothers.com

Recent Features

Support The Mac Observer

We noticed you may be running AdBlock on your computer. It takes real money to run this site and to deliver the news, tips, and opinions you love to read.

If you wish to block the ads that pay for the creation of our content, we ask that you instead support TMO Directly, either with a $5 monthly recurring contribution, or a one-time donation of any amount of your choice. Thanks!

Subscribe with Paypal Donate with Paypal