Consumer hardware - no point. Big servers - maybe.
I don’t really see the point of licensing the OS, at this point. Would having more choices of hardware available sell more Macs? More likely, I see it leaching from Apple’s sales, just like before.
Since Apple is the only company paying the big R&D bucks to develop Mac OS X, which is the true heart and core of the innovation that makes Macs so great, having other companies potentially eat away part of Apple’s profit, the vast majority of which comes from high-margin hardware sales, just sounds like nonsense.
Yes, there may be a marginal increase in the overall market share of installed Macs, if Apple were to license out the OS, but I think that most companies who really want the quality of a Mac are looking to buy Apple hardware, anyway. What’s the alternative? Buying a lower-priced Mac? News-flash: A lot of people who bought low-priced alternative Macs, from companies like Motorola or Umax, during the original Mac OS licensing debacle, quickly found out that you get what you pay for. Whether it was fair or not, this just hurt the reputation of Macs, in general.
Before you even think of responding with ‘Power Computing’, I have to tell you that they were one of the biggest reasons that Apple pulled the plug on licensing. They were one of the best Mac cloners out there, but they got greedy and flouted, as loudly as they could manage, the fact that their hardware was ‘superior’ to Apple’s offerings, and cost less. Do you really think Apple would let anything even remotely like that happen again?
I think that there may possibly be room for Mac OS X server being licensed to a select number of manufacturers of server hardware, since servers only account for a small percentage of Apple’s hardware sales. Apple could benefit a lot, in the long-run, from having another established hardware vendor make inroads into the server market with Mac OS X.
If Apple cooperated with big-iron developers to put Mac OS X on existing server hardware that are already popular, it could go a long way towards unseating Windows as the de-facto server software in corporate America. Can anyone imagine the potential benefits of Mac OS X Server (especially with the new additions in Leopard Server), running on big IBM iron, like POWER 6 systems or their descendants?
Again, the big server market is a totally different dynamic than the consumer market. While licensing to Mac OS X for the latter would just be shooting themselves in the foot, Apple might reap big, long term rewards, by sacrificing a few server sales, and letting a company that is well entrenched do their server sales for them.