Mayor Quimby - 06 July 2009 10:09 AM
FAZ?
AAPL, C, BAC, JPM, DE AGCO, STV, RAD, MON, SSYS, NYX (I dig its yield) so far today. I’m in total fund manager mode and have some longer term goals in view. For example, when Spanked by America repurchases their TRAP, err TARP preferred, the common stock will receive an expected accrual of $0.35 per share in additional earnings. When the Spanked One, Ken Lewis, purchased Merrill Lynch and Country Wide, Bank of America internally did their own good bank, bad bank by transferring the toxic assets off of Merrill and Country’s books and unto Spanked by America’s books which has $1.9 trillion in earning assets and which could better absorb the body blows of massive write downs. After transferring the assets, Bank of America then flipped on the switch for Merrill and Country Wide and fired them both back up. The interest from the yield curve, trading gains from Merrill on 30-35% market rebounds, rampant mortgage origination at Country Wide and legacy returns from BAC’s good assets, will lead to an earning beat of at least $0.14 a share above the aggregate street expectation of $0.26 or $0.27 per common share.
Meanwhile, Paulson is the next contestant on Capital Hill’s the Price is Rightâ„¢ game and Hank is scheduled to give the wheel a spin on the 16th a day before BofA’s pre-market earnings release. Paulson may appeal to the point that Merrill Lynch made $3.66 Billion after tax in Q1 which when annualized is nearly $15B. Merrill’s monster earnings make it difficult to criticize the Spanked One for purchasing Merrill lock, stock and barrel for $29.2 billion. Yet given the Spanked One’s perceived tenuous position on the street, if Ken thought BAC was going to come under the street’s earnings expectations, I expect that BofA would pre-announce to soften the blow as well as to show Lewis’ earnestness of turning over a new not-Paulson/Bernanke influenced forthcomingness to provide shareholders accurate and timely announcements about BAC’s clockworks. Yet nothing has been pre-announced.