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May I Take Your Order, Please?
deagol
Posted: 26 November 2009 03:33 PM [ Ignore ]
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This can be a great way to gauge Black Friday (and Monday) online sales. Remember I once again rely on crowdsourcing for this aspect of my model. Oh and don’t forget those European Online Store orders are very welcome too.

http://www.apple.com/orderstatus/
Just go there and post the date/time and W# of as many orders you wish to share (you can cross out the last 2 or 3 digits).

For those who’d like to run their own analysis, last few orders I have are:

Date    W#US
09/30  64997
10/20  65346
10/27  65506 

Last quarter’s total orders were 3.20M (2.06M US+1.14M EU), last year’s Q1 were 3.93M (2.67M US+1.26M EU), and this year’s projected estimate is 4.08M (2.68M US+1.40M EU).

Thanks!

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DawnTreader
Posted: 26 November 2009 06:04 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 1 ]
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I’ve set this as a new topic for the new quarter.  smile

Everyone:

Following deagol’s work is as much fun as following the numbers. I urge everyone to participate in this data gathering effort.

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deagol
Posted: 27 November 2009 12:13 AM [ Ignore ] [ # 2 ]
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Thanks DT.

The historical record provides great context for this unique metric. Here’s the whole history of web orders volume per quarter. And here’s last year’s analysis of the daily order rate around Black Friday.

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BillH
Posted: 27 November 2009 02:36 AM [ Ignore ] [ # 3 ]
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MacBook Pro

Order date:  11-16-09

Order #:  658374

Thanks for asking.  smile

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DawnTreader
Posted: 27 November 2009 02:42 AM [ Ignore ] [ # 4 ]
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BillH - 27 November 2009 02:36 AM

MacBook Pro

Order date:  11-16-09

Order #:  658374

Thanks for asking.  smile

cool

Perhaps I need to revise my quarterly estimate to 3 million Macs plus 1.  wink

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BillH
Posted: 27 November 2009 03:09 AM [ Ignore ] [ # 5 ]
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DawnTreader - 27 November 2009 02:42 AM
BillH - 27 November 2009 02:36 AM

MacBook Pro

Order date:  11-16-09

Order #:  658374

Thanks for asking.  smile

cool

Perhaps I need to revise my quarterly estimate to 3 million Macs plus 1.  wink

Maybe 3/4 being the cheap, refurb loving, northern dwelling, pita that I am.

Should have another number tomorrow after I book brother in laws new desktop.

Had Apple make us our Holiday Greeting card this year for the first time.  Couldn’t have been slicker.  Wife, kids and I sitting on the sofa at my sisters (fat and happy from an over indulgent Turkey feast).  Nephew takes the pics.  Come home and load them into iPhoto.  Do a little editing.  Hit the card button.  Struggled with the prose (could have used the expertise of our more loquacious posters).  Hit the buy button and…,  another couple hundred bucks in the till.  I was impressed with the fact that they provided a discount based on order size.

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BillH
Posted: 27 November 2009 04:45 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 6 ]
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22” iMac

Order Date:  11-27-09

Order Number:  662074

Time:  2:20 CST

[ Edited: 27 November 2009 08:32 PM by BillH ]
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benoir
Posted: 27 November 2009 05:07 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 7 ]
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17” MacBook Pro
11-27-09 (about 11pm….!)
W57659XXX (ordered in the antipodean part of the world)

3.2M macs for the quarter

[ Edited: 27 November 2009 05:09 PM by benoir ]
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deagol
Posted: 27 November 2009 07:15 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 8 ]
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Thanks, now the time would be really helpful for getting a good read on the intraday/intraweek order rate. The Apple site gives the exact PST time: http://www.apple.com/orderstatus/

Benoir, that rare “antipodean” order is nice to have. It shows there’s been 666 thousand orders from that as of yet “unaccounted” sequence since Aug-25, compared to about 3 million from US+EU, not bad.

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daveynb
Posted: 27 November 2009 07:46 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 9 ]
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iMac 21.5”
Order number W66249xxx
Nov 27

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deagol
Posted: 27 November 2009 08:22 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 10 ]
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See what I mean about the time? These from today:

66207 from BillH
66249 from daveynb

42k orders in between, but how much time elapsed? I can’t compare with last year without this info.

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BillH
Posted: 27 November 2009 08:37 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 11 ]
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deagol - 27 November 2009 08:22 PM

See what I mean about the time? These from today:

66207 from BillH
66249 from daveynb

42k orders in between, but how much time elapsed? I can’t compare with last year without this info.

I’m having my bil forward me the acknowledgement when he gets it.  I’ll post the time but added an approximate above.

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Mercel
Posted: 27 November 2009 09:04 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 12 ]
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deagol - 27 November 2009 08:22 PM

See what I mean about the time? These from today:

66207 from BillH
66249 from daveynb

42k orders in between, but how much time elapsed? I can’t compare with last year without this info.

I predict 10 milliseconds…

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deagol
Posted: 27 November 2009 09:35 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 13 ]
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BillH - 27 November 2009 08:37 PM

I’m having my bil forward me the acknowledgement when he gets it.  I’ll post the time but added an approximate above.

Thanks. I’m assuming that’s 2:20 pm, right?

I’m not sure if the exact time is included in the email confirmation. Apple shows the exact time on your orders history or order detail pages. Like this, or this, or this.

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macross
Posted: 27 November 2009 10:48 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 14 ]
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11/11 11:38AM
W65748XXX

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JML
Posted: 27 November 2009 10:52 PM [ Ignore ] [ # 15 ]
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Uk online order

13” MBP
Order Number: W91863xxx
Order Date: Nov 27, 2009 at 03:14 PM GMT

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