DT’s Resource Guide For Independent AAPL Analysts

  • Posted: 19 December 2010 05:16 PM

    Over the past several weeks I’ve posted a series of blog entires to serve as a repository of information for AFB members and “lurkers” seeking a convenient place to access information on Apple’s recent quarterly results. In a way the blog posts represent the “essential building blocks” in developing quarterly estimates for future periods based on the company’s recent results. I’m posting links to each of the pertinent blog posts as a reference guide for AFB members working on their own quarterly estimates:

    Apple: Testing Analyst EPS Estimates With Revenue Forecasts

    Apple’s Startling Rates of Growth: A Five-Year Overview

    Apple: A Comparison of Eight Quarters of Revenue and Earnings Per Share

    Apple: FY 2009 & 2010 Results By Quarter

    Apple: A Quarterly Comparison of Costs and Cost Ratios To Revenue

    Apple’s Profitability and the Influences of Gross Margin, Tax Rates and OpEx

    It’s my desire for this work to be a benefit to all AFB members seeking to understand Apple’s recent quarterly performances and to serve as a repository of information about the company’s recent results.

    Robert

    [Edited to change topic type to normal]

    [ Edited: 19 December 2010 08:10 PM by DawnTreader ]      
  • Posted: 19 December 2010 05:44 PM #1

    Great work DT!!!!!  I appreciate it!!!!

         
  • Posted: 19 December 2010 06:14 PM #2

    Lots of good work here DT.  I especially like the chart re: CGS and Other.  Nice to see it in one place too. 

    Now, I’ll let you get back to responding to work orders by Mark.  rolleyes

         
  • Posted: 19 December 2010 07:27 PM #3

    Fabulous work DT! This really puts it all together.

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 19 December 2010 07:43 PM #4

    Much appreciated DT.  Might help reduce my trips to apple.com/investor.

    Signature

    The Summer of AAPL is here.  Enjoy it (responsibly) while it lasts.
    AFB Night Owl Teamâ„¢
    Thanks, Steve.

         
  • Posted: 19 December 2010 11:40 PM #5

    Now we need an amazing chart/analysis on short-term stock price movement in relation to AAPL’s quarterly reports. Anyone got an ENIGMA machine?

    Signature

    "You are coming to a sad realization. Cancel or allow?"

         
  • Posted: 20 December 2010 02:56 AM #6

    Mav - 19 December 2010 11:43 PM

    Much appreciated DT.  Might help reduce my trips to apple.com/investor.

    This is among the reasons I’ve published all of this work. Due to the change in accounting principles for the iPhone and the scarcity of analysis such as what I’ve performed over the past four weeks, I want to make the information available for the benefit of all AFB members and “lurkers” seeking quality information in one place.

    I can’t count how many trips I’ve made to Apple’s online investor repository over the past year, but I’m sure it’s well over 100 trips. Now it’s all in one spot to serve as a repository for the public.  grin

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 01:43 AM #7

    Mercel - 19 December 2010 10:14 PM

    Lots of good work here DT.  I especially like the chart re: CGS and Other.  Nice to see it in one place too.

    The goal was to consolidate the information in one easy-to-find location for AFB members and other independent AAPL analysts. By the way, my opex estimate for the quarter relative to revenue is looking quite attractive as revenue scales well above $25 billion.

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 21 December 2010 04:06 AM #8

    Thank you very much for posting this info all in one place.

      cheers
          JohnG

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 01:25 PM #9

    ...one more thing:

    “Attempting to analyze Apple through the general mediocrity of the industry they’re part of, is just not the way to look at Apple…”

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 02:56 PM #10

    Much appreciated DT, spares the hunt. Excellent analysis as well. Particularly telling is the five-year overview.

    I suppose I qualify as a ‘lurker’, albeit an invested one.

    Signature

    wab95

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 03:55 PM #11

    Damn you DT.  How dare you take much of the guess work in forecasting out of the equation, and replace it with facts.  Now anybody with half a brain is going to make better investment decisions.  Nice work.

    Signature

    You can’t do more, make more, be more, than the next guy, if you think like the next guy. Think different.

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 05:02 PM #12

    Lion - 21 December 2010 05:25 PM

    ...one more thing:

    “Attempting to analyze Apple through the general mediocrity of the industry they’re part of, is just not the way to look at Apple…”

    You’re right.  grin

    That’s why analysis must be uniquely Apple.

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 05:03 PM #13

    wab95 - 21 December 2010 06:56 PM

    Much appreciated DT, spares the hunt. Excellent analysis as well. Particularly telling is the five-year overview.

    I suppose I qualify as a ‘lurker’, albeit an invested one.

    You’re here, you post, you’re a member.  grin

         
  • Posted: 21 December 2010 05:17 PM #14

    adamthompson3232 - 21 December 2010 06:17 AM

    DT,

    I, too, say THANK YOU for posting this all in one place. You and your work are awesome!

    at, that was the rewarding part of the work. Like Mav, I’ve made countless trips to the Apple investor site to cobble together information. What’s important is that all data is post-retrospective accounting principle changes for the recognition of iPhone revenue. The original quarterly information for FY 2009 was before the application of new principles. This has led to confusion and the inadvertent use of incompatible data in analysis that has appeared around the Web.

    The goal was to get all of the information in one place as a reference resource for AFB members. I’m glad it’s a help.  grin

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 21 December 2010 06:44 PM #15

    DT, I appreciate everything also. I just hope you are not washed away because you can’t be replaced.  :innocent:

    Signature

    Adversity does not just build character, it reveals it.