AAPL Intraday Updates (Archive)

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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:03 AM #46

    blaze biscuits - 19 October 2011 02:58 AM

    yep..  I was going to say the same thing.  I had that 303/313/309/300 memorized from last week.

    I can’t hardly remember stuff for school without reading twice but I sure can ‘member me some numbers!!!

    LOL!  Well, it’s a good thing I hang out with traders like you two, because I remember people and conversations but not numbers!!

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:03 AM #47

    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 03:00 AM
    Unique - 19 October 2011 02:56 AM
    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 02:40 AM

    Timing-wise…I was gabbing with Chas earlier—he pulled the stats from last Oct where we gapped down, then went up, before coming back down but not as low as the open.  So the LOD was the open last Oct.

    Not exactly right.

    Oct 19, 2010  
    Open 303.40
    High 313.77  
    Low 300.02  
    Close 309.49  
    Volume 44,027,119

    Oct 18, 2010  
    Open 318.47  
    High 319.00  
    Low 314.29  
    Close 318.00  
    Volume 39,444,913

    Whoops!  Thanks, Unique!  Chas did give me the correct numbers.  I botched the retelling…a significant miss on my part! wink

    It’s alright..  your still ‘the shit’ and irreplaceable!!!

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:06 AM #48

    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 03:03 AM
    blaze biscuits - 19 October 2011 02:58 AM

    yep..  I was going to say the same thing.  I had that 303/313/309/300 memorized from last week.

    I can’t hardly remember stuff for school without reading twice but I sure can ‘member me some numbers!!!

    LOL!  Well, it’s a good thing I hang out with traders like you two, because I remember people and conversations but not numbers!!

    wow..  HORRIBLE over here with names..  REALLY bad.. lol. 

    and I remember ALL the conversations I have with myself quite well!  its the ‘others’ I have difficulties with..  smile

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:11 AM #49

    ROFL!!! smile

    Okay, I’m off to curl up with Olmstead… wink

         
  • Posted: 19 October 2011 12:14 AM #50

    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 03:11 AM

    ROFL!!! smile

    Okay, I’m off to curl up with Olmstead… wink


    Had no idea that you were Mrs. Olmstead. Everything makes so much more sense now.

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:18 AM #51

    OK here is some perspective that should cheer a few folks up.

    aapl has spent most of the year from 310 to 360 prior to July.

    Since July earnings it spent most of its time under 392 with the exemption of three different short term moves.

    5 days ago we were at 375.  Can you guys imagine where we would be if instead of being at 425 today we were at 375. 

    Yes we would be at 348.

    We are seeing the post earnings sell off to 380 now instead of late Oct.  We will recover and we need to be patient.

    I see us above 400 in short order but not above 426 unless we have a real Santa Rally that I don’t see right now.

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:22 AM #52

    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 02:56 AM
    Unique - 19 October 2011 02:47 AM
    adamthompson3232 - 19 October 2011 02:34 AM

    Andy Zaky thinks low of day will be at the open.

    I’m not hating on AZ, but his short term predictions are not as great compared his longer term ones. I’m just sayin..

    But he did nail the iphone event drop a few days prior showing past data that we drop almost every launch. He was darn right on that.

    Andy has excellent insights into how AAPL *responds* to x, y, z.

    IMHO, it does make sense that on a day when the stock gaps down 30 points, it doesn’t continue to sell off all day long.  (This isn’t RIMM or NFLX.)  Now what happens after tomorrow…no idea.

    I agree with Unique’s assessment.  AZ is articulate and understand Apple very well but his stock price forecast is wanting.

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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:25 AM #53

    Rupert22 - 19 October 2011 02:50 AM

    Help me out here not sure what your saying. I think your saying selling 395’s (against my Oct 390’s or buying 395 puts. Also be aware that I have 5 Oct 390 and 11 Oct 400’s so an uneven amount.

    Rupert, yes—sell to open “some” OCT 395 calls to create bull or bear call spreads—but this is not a recommendation, only something I wanted to throw out there for your consideration for possible hedge, should you decide to hold your OCT long calls and not sell them. 

    It would potentially cap the gains on your 390s should we go up, but offset the loss on your 400s should we go down.

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:34 AM #54

    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 03:00 AM

    Whoops!  Thanks, Unique!  Chas did give me the correct numbers.  I botched the retelling…a significant miss on my part! wink

    I have that effect on the women-folk! Thanks for the help to me and others iPad, appreciated grin

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:39 AM #55

    Lstream - 19 October 2011 03:14 AM
    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 03:11 AM

    ROFL!!! smile

    Okay, I’m off to curl up with Olmstead… wink


    Had no idea that you were Mrs. Olmstead. Everything makes so much more sense now.

    HA!!!! :D

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:40 AM #56

    Along with buying AAPL over $400, don’t buy Bosch dishwashers. They stink to the degree I ripped the new one out and brought it back, asking the sales manager as I did so, if they offered a dishwasher that cleans dishes? I explained that I didn’t care if the lights in the neighborhood dimmed a bit when I turned it on, or if it sounded like a washing machine when running because I just want clean dishes.

    Sigh.

    Signature

    Black Swan Counter: 9 (Banks need money, Jobs needs a break, Geithner has no plan, Cuomo’s grandstanding, .Gov needs a hobby, GS works for money, flash crash, is that bubbling crude?).

    For those who look, a flash allows one to see farther.

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:40 AM #57

    We’re all Pissed at the Miss because many of us are holding options or wanted to make money selling shares tomorrow but the reason behind the miss seems pretty easy to understand. Had 4S launched a few weeks earlier, Apple wouldn’t have missed. They didn’t sell any phones in from mid-August through September in their 7 launch countries. I’ve read the call transcript and looked at the numbers. I’m sure others have looked at the same data. We might be in for a wild ride but I think the share price will find and hold support after gapping down. That big guidance figure for Q1 2012 will dangle out there like a carrot on a stick and folks are going to take a bite at it sooner rather than later. One analyst, Walter Pietck from BTGS, has already raised his estimate from $500 to $550. Based on the questions in the conference call, I don’t think the major WS firms are going to change their positions.

    If I had any powder left I’d be buying at the support levels Unique so accurately identifies. But I’d planned to swing trade shares, selling the expected gap up and then buying the later expected drift down. Oh. Well.

         
  • Posted: 19 October 2011 12:50 AM #58

    Wednesday

    R4       447.47
      midpoint   443.06
    R3       438.65
      midpoint   434.24
    R2       429.83
      midpoint   427.94
    R1       426.04
      midpoint   423.53
    PP       421.01
      midpoint   419.12
    S1       417.22
      midpoint   414.71
    S2       412.19
      midpoint   407.78
    S3       403.37
      midpoint   398.96
    S4       394.55

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:52 AM #59

    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 03:25 AM
    Rupert22 - 19 October 2011 02:50 AM

    Help me out here not sure what your saying. I think your saying selling 395’s (against my Oct 390’s or buying 395 puts. Also be aware that I have 5 Oct 390 and 11 Oct 400’s so an uneven amount.

    Rupert, yes—sell to open “some” OCT 395 calls to create bull or bear call spreads—but this is not a recommendation, only something I wanted to throw out there for your consideration for possible hedge, should you decide to hold your OCT long calls and not sell them. 

    It would potentially cap the gains on your 390s should we go up, but offset the loss on your 400s should we go down.

    Love,
    Thanks again to you and everyone for your help. It’s not usual for me to be this stupid but the earnings report was more of a shock than I expected.

         
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    Posted: 19 October 2011 12:56 AM #60

    Mace - 19 October 2011 03:22 AM
    lovemyipad - 19 October 2011 02:56 AM
    Unique - 19 October 2011 02:47 AM
    adamthompson3232 - 19 October 2011 02:34 AM

    Andy Zaky thinks low of day will be at the open.

    I’m not hating on AZ, but his short term predictions are not as great compared his longer term ones. I’m just sayin..

    But he did nail the iphone event drop a few days prior showing past data that we drop almost every launch. He was darn right on that.

    Andy has excellent insights into how AAPL *responds* to x, y, z.

    IMHO, it does make sense that on a day when the stock gaps down 30 points, it doesn’t continue to sell off all day long.  (This isn’t RIMM or NFLX.)  Now what happens after tomorrow…no idea.

    I agree with Unique’s assessment.  AZ is articulate and understand Apple very well but his stock price forecast is wanting.

    i disagree - he’s nailed countless short-term moves (and intermediate/long appears to be undisputed here).  chart patterns aren’t about predicting with a crystal ball.  it’s about playing the percentages, like poker.  you recognize when the odds are in your favor, and play when they are so.  you’ll win over time.