AAPL Intraday Updates - Archive

  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 09:25 PM

    Pivotal week…

    What are your thoughts?

    [ Edited: 30 June 2012 01:08 PM by lovemyipad ]      
  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 09:33 PM #1

    It depends on so many things.

    In an “amusing” sidenote, half of the Greek delegation - the more important half? - can’t attend the upcoming EU summit, citing health reasons.  And “the troika” of lenders is delaying its visit to Athens as a result:  http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/24/us-greece-idUSBRE85M0AW20120624

    Signature

    The Summer of AAPL is here.  Enjoy it (responsibly) while it lasts.
    AFB Night Owl Team™
    Thanks, Steve.

         
  • Posted: 24 June 2012 09:39 PM #2

    It does feel like a “pivotal” week literally.

    A lot of potential news flow from Europe, domestic, macro, micro, calendar…

    Events to watch

         
  • Posted: 24 June 2012 09:45 PM #3

    I haven’t seen the result of Sponge’s coin flip so I don’t have an opinion yet (it’ll be the opposite of the coin toss).

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 09:55 PM #4

    Clueless.  A $46 earnings @ a P/E of 13 makes AAPL about $600, and @ 13.5 makes AAPL about $620.

    At $600 with the TTE of $41 the P/E would run up to 14.6, and @ $620 the P/E would have to run up to 15.1 before earnings.

    I’m new to this but would put the highest run up to earnings @ $620, with a chance of a short pull back before the run up.

    Signature

    Waiting to be included in one of Apple’s target markets, but I still own an iPod, iPhone and iMac and APPL stock.

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 09:59 PM #5

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 10:01 PM #6

    The direction is up. We’re still in an uptrend - and I think we held it even on last Thursday and Friday - and Mondays are usually up days anyway.

    We have a wall of calls at 590 this early in the week, and with any momentum, maybe we could blow though and get into the mid 590s. 

    Macros should be good to neutral, so maybe it’s time.

         
  • Posted: 24 June 2012 10:01 PM #7

    AAPLtini - 25 June 2012 12:59 AM

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

    60/40 in favor of earnings before OPEX.

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 10:06 PM #8

    AAPLtini - 25 June 2012 12:59 AM

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

    Seeing as Apple reset its fiscal quarter calender with Decembers thirteen weeks, I think earnings will come after Options expiration - a good three and a half weeks after the quarter end, just like the April earnings announcement.

    Signature

    Full Disclosure:

    - Long Apple
    - Pro: Apple HDTV, iPhone Air, Stock split, Consumer robotics

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 24 June 2012 10:12 PM #9

    Mercel - 25 June 2012 01:01 AM
    AAPLtini - 25 June 2012 12:59 AM

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

    60/40 in favor of earnings before OPEX.

    My bet’s on after.

    Though I’d realllllllly like before July expiry.

    We should know a few days into July.

    Signature

    The Summer of AAPL is here.  Enjoy it (responsibly) while it lasts.
    AFB Night Owl Team™
    Thanks, Steve.

         
  • Posted: 24 June 2012 10:13 PM #10

    AAPLtini - 25 June 2012 12:59 AM

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

    95% chance it’ll be after expiration. As far as I’m concerned, once the quarter end reset with the 14th week quarter in Q1, it means no more pre options releases for a few years.

         
  • Posted: 24 June 2012 10:20 PM #11

    Pivotal, or not.

    It will be a week smile

    I am particularly interested in the period between the 4th of July and the earnings report

         
  • Posted: 24 June 2012 11:56 PM #12

    futures are blood red at the moment.

    not looking good for monday.

    Hoping to see 600 soon.

         
  • Posted: 25 June 2012 12:00 AM #13

    Burgess - 25 June 2012 01:06 AM
    AAPLtini - 25 June 2012 12:59 AM

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

    Seeing as Apple reset its fiscal quarter calender with Decembers thirteen weeks, I think earnings will come after Options expiration - a good three and a half weeks after the quarter end, just like the April earnings announcement.

    Option expiration this July will occur on the 20th, the latest in the month for all years back to 2009. I’m hopeful that Apple reports on July 19, 2012, a Thursday.  It may be that Apple reports July 23, 2012, a Monday, but it would also be the latest in July Apple reported FQ3 earnings (again, back to 2009).

    Anyone have the date that Apple reported earnings in 2008?

         
  • Avatar

    Posted: 25 June 2012 12:16 AM #14

    Yahoo Finance is listing it @ 7-16, a Monday. Probably just a typo or a wild-assed guess. Apple hasn’t held a Monday earnings release since Oct 2010. Typically Tuesday, occasionally Wed.

    Regardless, let’s get the run-up rolling!

    Signature

    We filed for over 200 patents for all the inventions in iPhone and we intend to protect them. — Steve Jobs, 2007

         
  • Posted: 25 June 2012 12:16 AM #15

    AAPLtini - 25 June 2012 12:59 AM

    What’s the best guess as to the timing of the earnings announcement? Before or after options expiration?

    No need to guess. Earnings call is after OpEx, which is better for making money anyway. Just look to last quarter for the playbook. Fiscal quarter always ends on the last Saturday of the month.

    How will your July options volatility premium change when the date is officially announced? It won’t change, because the market has already priced in the date for July 24th or 25th.