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AAPL Intraday Updates - Archive
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greedyn00b
- [ Ignore ]
Beyond that, should Apple report as Eric hypothesizes, we will not see a “moribund” summer, because in addition to those numbers (which indicate stronger demand for Apple products than the Street is factoring), Apple will guide stronger than they did in April.
Guidance is about the future, earnings is about the past. Investors use the past to establish a base line, then buy the future.
I certainly expect Apple will go up, and trade in a new range. However, given the way the summer usually goes, and all the macro uncertainty. I fully expect that AAPL will fall off after the bounce, be at an undervalued PE, and trade within a range that although higher $$$, is equally or more frustrating than the just-passed quarter.
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Like 600-650 maybe? I can see that.
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The Summer of AAPL is here. Enjoy it (responsibly) while it lasts.
AFB Night Owl Team™
Thanks, Steve. -
Gregg Thurman
- [ Ignore ]
Action plan:
Is AAPL opens down, will seriously investigate an earnings play, subject to what my confused read of the chart is telling me.
Just hold your nose, buy some weekly 605/615 BCSs and stop worrying! Put in a sell at open for Wednesday and go fishing… :innocent:
That’s my plan, only I bought Weekly $620/$625s at $1.93. I expect to sell at~$3.25/$3.50, then will buy Put Spreads just in the money for Friday. The latter based on Apple’s guidance.
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You can’t do more, make more, be more, than the next guy, if you think like the next guy. Think different.
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kevinhernandez
- [ Ignore ]
Be careful-but again I’m the pessimist.
Europe was ugly on Friday-nothing’s really changed since then-it may continue to bring us down. Spain was down -5.8%, France -2.1, and Germany -1.9%
Syria could get ugly quickly. Could Israel get involved?
Iran?
I think Apple is going to surprise everyone (to the upside). But it could be a hazardous week.
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Be careful-but again I’m the pessimist.
Europe was ugly on Friday-nothing’s really changed since then-it may continue to bring us down. Spain was down -5.8%, France -2.1, and Germany -1.9%
Syria could get ugly quickly. Could Israel get involved?
Iran?
I think Apple is going to surprise everyone (to the upside). But it could be a hazardous week.
On the optimist side, A downer Monday could lead to even bigger returns post earnings Tuesday PM (Wednesday AM)
See thread http://www.macobserver.com/tmo/forums/viewthread/83011/P15/ for Mav’s non-actionable non-advice
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Because Longer is better…....
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Im hoping for a good earnings report.
That plus a good reaction to the earnings report…
... “Nothing either good or bad; But thinking and manipulation makes it so” ? Shakespeare
(Well, I added the manipulation part in deference to the EOs.)
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Study the natural order of things and work with it rather than against it… ? Tao Te Ching
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(...)
... “Nothing either good or bad; But thinking and manipulation makes it so” ? Shakespeare(Well, I added the manipulation part in deference to the EOs.)
I like it!!
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Be careful-but again I’m the pessimist.
Europe was ugly on Friday-nothing’s really changed since then-it may continue to bring us down. Spain was down -5.8%, France -2.1, and Germany -1.9%
Syria could get ugly quickly. Could Israel get involved?
Iran?
I think Apple is going to surprise everyone (to the upside). But it could be a hazardous week.
Kev, for me, it’s like two negatives making a positive. Macro still sucks (neg #1), but I’m still jaded (neg #2) about sentiment driving the news vs. the other way around. The market blissfully ignored all the macro crap in Feb and Mar. If the market chooses to ignore again, we’ll have a rip-your-face-off rally that will bankrupt the shorts and lure in the bulls—all-in and fully leveraged anticipating AAPL at 1000 shortly—THEN when we’re immune to all the top-callers (boy who cried wolf), THEN we’ll have another blistering a*s-kicking.
So…we shall soon find out whether sentiment is in “blissful-ignorance” mode or “hyper-focused-doom-and-gloom” mode. With the former, we rally even on bad news. With the latter, we tank even on good news.
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Be careful-but again I’m the pessimist.
Europe was ugly on Friday-nothing’s really changed since then-it may continue to bring us down. Spain was down -5.8%, France -2.1, and Germany -1.9%
Syria could get ugly quickly. Could Israel get involved?
Iran?
I think Apple is going to surprise everyone (to the upside). But it could be a hazardous week.
Kev, for me, it’s like two negatives making a positive. Macro still sucks (neg #1), but I’m still jaded (neg #2) about sentiment driving the news vs. the other way around. The market blissfully ignored all the macro crap in Feb and Mar. If the market chooses to ignore again, we’ll have a rip-your-face-off rally that will bankrupt the shorts and lure in the bulls—all-in and fully leveraged anticipating AAPL at 1000 shortly—THEN when we’re immune to all the top-callers (boy who cried wolf), THEN we’ll have another blistering a*s-kicking.
So…we shall soon find out whether sentiment is in “blissful-ignorance” mode or “hyper-focused-doom-and-gloom” mode. With the former, we rally even on bad news. With the latter, we tank even on good news.
So you are all in?
Just when does your crystal ball show AAPL reaching $1,000? I would say there is plenty of time for many whipsaws and changes in market sentiment to occur between now and then.
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greedyn00b
- [ Ignore ]
Like 600-650 maybe? I can see that.
Roughly. I could see a quarter low of 585. I could see a high 670+. But yeah, most of the quarter running 600-650 would be in line with my expectations.
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While China can still stimulate its economy, the Fed can only fondle ours.
Don’t forget, bull markets climb a wall of worry. If true, some AFB’ers are going to push us higher.
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greedyn00b
- [ Ignore ]
Just when does your crystal ball show AAPL reaching $1,000? I would say there is plenty of time for many whipsaws and changes in market sentiment to occur between now and then.
Oh… hell… yeah… There’s going to be some sick-making lurches in the price
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While China can still stimulate its economy, the Fed can only fondle ours.
Don’t forget, bull markets climb a wall of worry. If true, some AFB’ers are going to push us higher.
Didn’t know the collective AFB had _that_ much buying power.
Signature
The Summer of AAPL is here. Enjoy it (responsibly) while it lasts.
AFB Night Owl Team™
Thanks, Steve. -
While China can still stimulate its economy, the Fed can only fondle ours.
Don’t forget, bull markets climb a wall of worry. If true, some AFB’ers are going to push us higher.
Didn’t know the collective AFB had _that_ much buying power.
If we all put our money together, we could buy…...Signature
AAPL: to boldly go where no stock has gone before
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While China can still stimulate its economy, the Fed can only fondle ours.
Don’t forget, bull markets climb a wall of worry. If true, some AFB’ers are going to push us higher.
Didn’t know the collective AFB had _that_ much buying power.
Mav, just you alone! :-D
