Page 2 – The Tech News Debris for the Week of July 11th
iPhone Stress Relief
Despite the evolution of the iPhone, with its ever increasing sophistication, the replacement rate by customers is systematically stretching out. This chart from Citi analysts shows the trend. (Note however that everything beyond June, 2016 is a projection.) Why this is happening is likely based more on economics, technical maturity and stress analysis than a waning appetite for technology.
That is, when the carriers stopped rolling most of the the cost of a new iPhone into monthly plans, customers became more acutely aware of the actual hardware cost, even if on the basis of a low cost loan. Upshot: Freedom from subsidies also means freedom to cut costs. That’s done by stretching out the upgrade cycle. TANSTAFL.
I am reminded of one of Murphy’s laws. Under the most strictly held conditions of temperature, pressure and humidity, the organism will do as it darn well pleases.
In Apple’s case, an unintended consequence of market saturation is the fiscal psychology of the less affluent segment of the market, combined with a sense of being overwhelmed.
While on that subject… Are you feeling a bit overwhelmed these days by technology change? Here’s a neat article from the CEDIA blog. (That’s the Custom Electronic Design & Installation Association.) The explanation for these predictions is good, “The Law of Accelerating Returns,” if it makes you feel any better.
That premise, famously posited by Google Futurist Ray Kurzweil, states that information technology is growing—and learning—exponentially. Humans don’t operate that way—we are, by our nature, linear—but the machines we’ve created have the ability to double their “thinking” power at a startling rate. Exponentially, in fact.
As people, we plod along. We proceed in simple steps, one after another.
I don’t think most people really hate change. They just hate the stressful rate of change. To keep up, a lot has to be left behind. Reminds me of Apple.
Along those lines, here’s a companion article. “Science catching up with science-fiction.” IoT is notable in that regard, as is the miraculous iPhone.
Speaking of iPhones, check out: “iPhone 7 and Apple’s next Retina Display frontier: Wide Color.” Do you see the logo on the orange square?
We know the black hats spend their whole lives trying to hack into computer systems for profit. Wouldn’t it be cool if a team of stellar ex- MI5, MI6, GCHQ, CIA, and FBI people got together to form an organization to fight the black hats? That’s exactly what Darktrace is doing. Well funded, they are now helping to protect over 1,000 businesses. Very cool stuff.
If you’ve been wondering about PC sales over the last few years, here’s a bar chart that sums up Global PC shipments, by quarter, since 2008. “5 Years Past ‘Peak PC’.” It’s fascinating because if you had looked at this entire chart, via a time machine, back in 2010, you might have concluded that (joy!) the iPad would be the cause of the decline. Oops.
What happens if you give people a cell phone in their Apple Watch? They’d talk and talk, right? Then complain about the short battery life. Adrian Kingsley-Hughes ponders: “Why cellular on the Apple Watch 2 will be a feature you’ll hate.”
Finally, for some comic relief on a hot July Friday, I present: “2 California men fall off edge of ocean bluff while playing ‘Pokemon Go’.” (They are okay, thank goodness.)
More delicious than ice cream, I’d say.
Particle Debris is a generally a mix of John Martellaro’s observations and opinions about a standout event or article of the week (preamble on page one) followed on page two by a discussion of articles that didn’t make the TMO headlines, the technical news debris. The column is published most every Friday except for holidays.