The early iPads were a sensation. It seemed that Steve Jobs had brought forth the successor to the Mac. However, things have not gone as planned with the iPad, and Apple is scrambling to construct a clearer branding and imperative for the iPad. Even Microsoft senses the difficulty and has poked fun at Apple’s newfound toaster-fridge mentality.
At 30 seconds into this video from 1994 Steve Jobs says that the Macintosh is on the verge of becoming obsolete. To be sure, that was in the context of the old, vastly inferior Mac OS 7. Switching to a BSD Unix breathed new life into the Mac for many years, indeed decades to come. Still, tech time marches on.
In early 2010, when [Mac] OS X was ten years old, Apple introduced the iPad. The thinking at the time was that this was the next step in the evolution of personal computing. It was surmised by most that the iPad would quickly surpass the PC market in sales, and its wide spread adoption would be the Next Big Thing.
We reveled in the purity of the iPad. There was no need for a stylus, a point made strongly by Mr. Jobs himself referring to the design of tablets.
“If you see a stylus, they blew it.”
Just as the iPhone, with its virtual keyboard, made the BlackBerrys look and feel ridiculous, the iPad required no keyboard. Apple refused to sell third party keyboards in the retail stores. Even so, some companies made good money serving the modest percentage of customers who wanted a real keyboard.
“The iPad is the clearest expression of our vision of the future of personal computing.”
A Funny Thing Happened
What happened next was unexpected. In 2014, iPad sales peaked and then the rate of sales growth became negative. All kinds of explanations have been offered to this complex issue. I won’t rehash them except to note that, perhaps, the iPad was able to replace the Mac and PC for a smaller fraction of customers than had been estimated.
The Mac has unexpectedly endured. Flourished.
In order to revitalize the iPad, Apple has explored many ideas. Much faster A[X] SoCs have helped, but that hasn’t translated into pervasive iPad cravings. iOS 9 and 10 have been revised to confer more power on the user to get things done. Features such as Slide Over, Split View and Picture in Picture have been introduced. Apple has introduced a rather capable stylus called the Apple Pencil and has legitimized the keyboard.
The sum of this effort so far, however, has served to both create a new iPad narrative and also muddy the branding waters. On one hand, it seems to make sense that if the iPad were to appeal to a broader audience, sales could be resuscitated. On the other, Apple may have backed itself into a corner. The result is the following ad.
Upon seeing this ad, our own Bryan Chaffin felt that it was basically a Surface Pro ad featuring an iPad Pro. In other words, Microsoft may have had the crisper vision all along in that portable computing devices still need a stylus and a keyboard for serious work, must have an Intel processor to run X86 binaries and need the full power of a productivity OS like Windows 10. Oh, how times have changed.
Next page: Microsoft keeps the faith and has some fun with Apple’s ad.